Part of: Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Keir Starmer will cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any time before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, or an official resignation/removal is announced before the deadline; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter tracks the market’s live odds and smart-money activity, including $1,500 in tracked smart money from 1 signal and a recent breakout buyer alert in politics.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,500.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Breakout buyer on politics

Moderate-conviction political bet: one wallet bought Yes at 86¢ during a sharp breakout in a previously quiet market, though the wallet’s track record is still limited.

  • A bettor bought $1.5K of Yes at 86¢ as the market broke sharply higher.
  • The trade was larger than recent quiet-market volume and came with a 26-point price breakout.
  • The wallet is up $2.5K so far, but its track record is still small at 4 resolved bets.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x121d...832a — Outcome 99764734, $7,200 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 99764734, $5,078 (36% win rate)
  3. 0xf769...0114 — Outcome 99764734, $3,809 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x2140...5790 — Outcome 99764734, $3,521
  5. 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 99764734, $3,313 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x4d19...f1dc — Outcome 99764734, $1,632
  7. 0xf27d...e6d3 — Outcome 99764734, $1,510 (24% win rate)
  8. 0xa55f...4f15 — Outcome 99764734, $1,500 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x0a6d...1d0a — Outcome 99764734, $1,437
  10. 0x9b19...ea52 — Outcome 99764734, $1,300

Related Theses

Starmer exits in summer 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

29dStarmer out by...?$1,500 tracked1 signalStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Notable Trades

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

12d ago

$1,500 on Yes at 86¢

Related Theses

Starmer exits in summer 2026
Wallet_0x1662a trades 2 related markets
Starmer out by August 31, 2026…Starmer out by June 30, 2026?