Part of: Starmer out by...?
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,500.
Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World
Notable Trades
Breakout buyer on politics
Moderate-conviction political bet: one wallet bought Yes at 86¢ during a sharp breakout in a previously quiet market, though the wallet’s track record is still limited.
- A bettor bought $1.5K of Yes at 86¢ as the market broke sharply higher.
- The trade was larger than recent quiet-market volume and came with a 26-point price breakout.
- The wallet is up $2.5K so far, but its track record is still small at 4 resolved bets.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x121d...832a — No, $7,200 (75% win rate)
- 0x77c8...bc8c — No, $5,078 (37% win rate)
- 0xf769...0114 — No, $3,809 (79% win rate)
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — No, $3,313 (73% win rate)
- 0x4d19...f1dc — No, $1,632
- 0xf27d...e6d3 — No, $1,510 (24% win rate)
- 0xa55f...4f15 — No, $1,500 (100% win rate)
- 0x9b19...ea52 — No, $1,300
- 0xdb9a...6e8b — No, $1,250 (91% win rate)
- 0x6902...678c — No, $1,200
Related Theses
Starmer exits in summer 2026
Covers 2 related markets
