Event

Starmer OUT IN 2025

18 signals across 3 markets · $44,714 tracked

Markets (3)

  1. Starmer out by June 30, 2026?13 signals · $30,603 tracked
  2. Starmer out by December 31, 2026?3 signals · $8,932 tracked
  3. Starmer out by May 15, 2026?2 signals · $5,179 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 14-wallet sharp cluster

    A highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet from a known 14-wallet funded cluster is adding a cross-market political thesis by buying No on Starmer leaving, and the price has already moved in their favor.

    $2,679Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 18.0
  2. Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

    A highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet from a 5-wallet linked cluster added a sizable No position in a major UK politics market, making this a credible smart-money signal despite the market being liquid.

    $3,105Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 17.3
  3. 13-wallet cluster buys NO

    A newly active wallet tied to a 13-wallet funded cluster bought No on a liquid UK politics market, though the individual trade size is modest.

    $1,400Score: 11.5
  4. 74% politics grinder

    A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record is buying No at 56¢ on a major politics market, making this a credible thesis trade despite only modest size.

    $1,952Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.0
  5. Proven political thesis trader

    A high-volume political trader with a 74% win rate and 993 resolved bets is taking the No side in this Starmer market as part of a broad cross-market thesis.

    $1,054Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.0
  6. 95% win-rate political bettor

    A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate bought No at 33¢ in a major UK politics market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

    $1,323Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 7.0
  7. 95% win-rate political bettor

    A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate is making a fresh $2.8k bet on No, which is notable despite the otherwise liquid market.

    $2,760Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 7.0
  8. 95% serial cross-market bettor

    A highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 95% resolved-bet win rate is buying No on a UK politics market at 59¢.

    $2,360Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 7.0
  9. 70% serial cross-market bettor

    Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% resolved-bet record is adding a $2.5k No position on a plausible UK politics market.

    $2,500Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.0
  10. Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

    LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

    $5,473Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 6.6

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x63d43ba2f1$11,034 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 95% wins
  2. 0xb4f259e5fa$6,500 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 70% wins
  3. 0xbf93322fd7$6,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
  4. 0x000d25758e$5,784 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 85% wins
  5. 0xa8b7f8ee3c$5,473 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  6. 0xfb5148742d$5,142 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 74% wins
  7. 0x8454f3331a$3,181 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
  8. 0x665c0716d5$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert

More on this event