Will Bitcoin hit $110,000 by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket?

This market resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle has a final high price of at least $110,000 between November 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET. If that never happens, it resolves No.

What price source determines whether BTC reaches $110K?

The official resolution source is Binance BTC/USDT, using the final High price from 1-minute candles on the Binance chart. Other exchanges or index prices do not determine this market.

When does the Bitcoin $110,000 prediction market resolve?

The market can resolve immediately to Yes if BTC reaches the target during the eligible period. If Bitcoin does not hit $110,000, final resolution is scheduled after the cutoff, with a listed resolution date of January 1, 2027 UTC.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this BTC market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $7,510 in smart money activity and 2 smart money signals for this market, with recent alerts including sharp Yes buying, profitable BTC target bettors, and an 81% winner buying No.

Does Bitcoin need to close above $110,000 for this market to resolve Yes?

No. Bitcoin only needs a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle to show a final High price equal to or greater than $110,000. A candle close above $110,000 is not required.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026, based on the high price of any 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance. It resolves Yes immediately if Binance records a BTC high of $110,000 or more during the specified window; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $7,510 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent sharp bettor activity on both Yes and No.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,344.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

A profitable cross-market crypto bettor is reducing No exposure, effectively backing Yes at 26¢ across a broader BTC price thesis.

This bettor has won 68% of resolved trades and is up about $9k lifetime.
They have placed $14.5k across 4 related BTC markets, suggesting a broader bullish price thesis.
Selling No at 74¢ is equivalent to backing Yes at 26¢, with the market up 4 points today.

$2,961 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable cross-market BTC buyer

A modestly profitable wallet is building a cross-market bullish Bitcoin thesis, with this $4.5k trade larger than the market's recent daily volume.

This bettor is up $8.9k lifetime and is positioning across four related Bitcoin markets.
The $4.5k trade was about the same size as this market’s entire recent daily volume.
Selling No at 76¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 24¢, a bet that Bitcoin touches $110k before 2027.

$4,549 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

80% winner buying NO

Surface despite weak market signal because the buyer has an 80% resolved-bet win rate across 148 markets and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades, with 118 wins across 148 markets.
They are up $15.7K lifetime while deploying nearly $1M, suggesting a real but modest edge.
They bought No at 76¢, betting Bitcoin will not touch $110K by the end of 2026.

$2,494 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable BTC target bettor

Proven profitable wallet with a 77% resolved win rate and strong edge is adding a modest but meaningful Yes bet across related BTC target markets.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $43.5K lifetime.
Their past wins came at average odds of 38%, suggesting a strong record of finding mispriced bets.
They are building a related BTC thesis across 2 markets, entering this Yes at 31¢.

$1,648 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

81% winner buying NO

A profitable 81% winner is taking the No side, with related positioning across two markets in the same event.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $227k lifetime.
They have $3.5k positioned across two related markets, suggesting a broader bearish thesis.
Selling Yes at 24¢ is equivalent to buying No at 76¢.

$1,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp crypto bettor buys Yes

Proven profitable wallet with an 84% win rate is making a five-figure Yes bet and has related cross-market positioning on the same Bitcoin thesis.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $242K lifetime.
They put $12.5K on Yes at 25¢, a large position relative to recent market activity.
The wallet is also positioned across a related Bitcoin market, suggesting a broader bullish thesis.

$12,501 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%