Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,847.
Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump
Notable Trades
83% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with an 83% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L is buying No while also positioning across a related market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $3.4K lifetime.
- They bought $1.5K of No at 82¢, showing confidence that restoration will not happen by the deadline.
- The wallet has $2.7K positioned across 2 related markets in the same event.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
1-day wallet buying Yes
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a concentrated Yes position near the market deadline, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
- This brand-new wallet has already placed $6.7k in flagged bets across 7 positions.
- Both trades point to Yes, including buying Yes and selling No on the same market.
- The bet is coming just days before resolution, when news or access changes could move the market quickly.
$2,667 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
76% winner buying No
A profitable 76% winner is adding a cross-market No position on a plausible AI-policy resolution market after a sharp move toward No.
- This bettor has won 76% of resolved trades, going 32 wins and 10 losses.
- They have put $8.5K across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis on this event.
- The market has moved 18 points toward No in the past day, and this trade follows that momentum at 84¢.
$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 54475623, $39,916 (69% win rate)
- 0x876b...1703 — Outcome 54475623, $4,995 (83% win rate)
- 0xb21b...0deb — Outcome 54475623, $2,596
- 0xae7c...487e — Outcome 54475623, $2,202 (86% win rate)
- 0xdc51...6566 — Outcome 66277136, $2,095
- 0x126e...c360 — Outcome 54475623, $2,000
- 0xaa99...dbbf — Outcome 54475623, $2,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x8f07...e5ae — Outcome 66277136, $1,678
- 0x035b...c6dd — Outcome 54475623, $1,000
- 0x1dd1...a156 — Outcome 54475623, $950 (53% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran deal by June end
Covers 3 related markets
Claude Fable returns by July
Covers 3 related markets
Claude Fable 5 remains unavailable
Covers 2 related markets
Araghchi signs, Ghalibaf doesn't
Covers 2 related markets
Trump rejects enrichment, accepts fees
Covers 2 related markets
US-Iran signing falls through
Covers 2 related markets
GPT-5.6 not before June 22
Covers 2 related markets
Hormuz shipping remains robust
Covers 2 related markets
Hormuz blockade remains in place
Covers 2 related markets
