Part of: IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, resolving Yes only if the company’s first public stock sale is confirmed by official announcements or credible news sources. PolySpotter tracks $1,068 in smart money activity across 1 signal, with recent alerts showing profitable bettors buying No and fading the IPO odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,199.
Categories: IPOs, Business, Big Tech, Tech, Finance
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor fading IPO odds
A modestly profitable 78% win-rate wallet is taking the contrarian No side on Anthropic IPO before 2027, with a better current No price than their implied entry.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $1k lifetime.
- They effectively bought No at 18¢ by selling Yes; No is now around 12¢, cheaper than their entry.
- This is a contrarian bet against an 88% Yes market in a relatively quiet 24h trading window.
$1,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
78% winner buys No
A profitable 78% win-rate wallet is taking the contrarian No side on a quiet long-dated IPO market at an effective 13¢ entry.
- This bettor has won 14 of 18 resolved trades and is up about $1,000 lifetime.
- They are taking the contrarian side, effectively buying No at 13¢ while the market prices Yes near 89%.
- The market is quiet, with low recent volume, so a $1.7K position is a meaningful signal.
$1,742 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
7-wallet funded cluster
A known 7-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes in a relatively quiet Anthropic IPO market, with the trade larger than recent 24h volume.
- Seven wallets funded by the same source have been tied to this thesis, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- This $3.8K buy was about 186% of recent 24h volume, a large move for this market.
- The buyer paid 88¢ for Yes even after a 9% weekly move, implying continued confidence in an Anthropic IPO before 2027.
$3,836 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
94% winner buying thin market
Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win record bought a thinly traded Anthropic IPO Yes market for over 2x the day's volume.
- This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved bets and is up $3,280 lifetime.
- Their $1,553 buy was 245% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 66¢ is above the current 62¢ price, so the copy opportunity is slightly cheaper than their fill.
$1,553 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xc401...8b2c — Yes, $11,732
- 0x3a8a...7699 — No, $10,031 (63% win rate)
- 0x8a4c...532b — No, $9,600 (52% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — No, $6,366 (86% win rate)
- 0xf27d...e6d3 — No, $4,608 (24% win rate)
- 0xa2cd...2ba0 — Yes, $4,353 (86% win rate)
- 0x96f9...1d08 — Yes, $4,235 (73% win rate)
- 0x1683...6906 — Yes, $3,630
- 0x9d84...1344 — No, $2,758 (42% win rate)
- 0x9efd...30ba — Yes, $2,698
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