Part of: Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
This prediction market asks whether Russia will capture any territory of Vozdvyzhivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast by May 31, 2026, as shown on the ISW map. It resolves “Yes” if any part of Vozdvyzhivka is shaded as Russian-controlled under the specified ISW layer by the deadline; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,122 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,122.
Categories: Geopolitics, Ukraine Map, Politics, Ukraine
Notable Trades
92% cross-market sharp
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes into strong recent momentum on a geopolitics market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $26.8K lifetime.
- They have traded 365 related markets across 182 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Yes has jumped 43.5 points in a day, and this buy adds to strong momentum at 80¢.
$1,122 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xc93f...445d — Outcome 68918649, $2,242
- 0xb57a...7d26 — Outcome 68918649, $1,836
- 0x4ea9...1651 — Outcome 68918649, $1,040
- 0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 68918649, $1,000
- 0x81a6...762e — Outcome 68918649, $1,000
- 0x8982...af89 — Outcome 68918649, $1,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xb977...3158 — Outcome 68918649, $677
- 0x78b9...a5fb — Outcome 68918649, $600
- 0xb0c2...3ea3 — Outcome 68918649, $600
- 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 68918649, $527
Related Theses
Russia enters Vozdvyzhivka by May
Covers 3 related markets
Starmer exits before June
Covers 1 related market
