Part of: Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
This prediction market asks whether Nithya Raman will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. The election is scheduled for June 2, 2026, with a runoff on November 3, 2026 if no candidate wins a majority, and PolySpotter is tracking $2,339 in smart money activity with 1 signal so far.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,339.
Categories: mayor, Politics, US Election, Elections, Los Angeles, Mayoral Elections, LA, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Perfect-record political bettor
A perfect-record serial cross-market trader is buying Raman Yes at 53¢ in a relatively small LA mayoral market with positive momentum.
- This bettor is 31-for-31 on resolved bets and up $34.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 37 events with over $1M deployed, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
- Entry at 53¢ is below the current 56¢ odds, and the market has moved up 4.5 points this week.
$2,339 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $14,732
- 0x15fd...cc95 — Yes, $9,703 (100% win rate)
- 0x1c14...0869 — Yes, $6,843 (60% win rate)
- 0x4392...68c3 — No, $4,670 (85% win rate)
- 0x5a7b...e9eb — No, $4,233 (86% win rate)
- 0xde04...fa37 — No, $3,740 (49% win rate)
- 0x2c6f...014e — Yes, $3,679
- 0x460a...d738 — No, $3,163 (54% win rate)
- 0xeed4...c1c2 — Yes, $2,021
- 0x6967...84bf — Yes, $2,000 (92% win rate)
