What does this Colombia 2026 World Cup prediction market cover?

This market covers whether Colombia will advance far enough in the 2026 FIFA World Cup to reach the quarterfinal round.

How does the market resolve if Colombia is eliminated?

If Colombia is mathematically eliminated or otherwise cannot reach the 2026 World Cup quarterfinals, the market resolves to No.

What needs to happen for this market to resolve Yes?

Colombia must reach the quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Simply qualifying for the tournament or advancing from the group stage would not be enough.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,066 in smart money activity on this market, with 1 smart money signal recorded.

What happens if the 2026 World Cup is delayed or cancelled?

According to the market rules, if the tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the quarterfinal matchups are not declared by then, the market may resolve according to those stated conditions.

Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether Colombia will reach the quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,066 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market, including a recent “90% winner World Cup thesis” alert. The market resolves Yes if Colombia reaches the quarterfinals, and No if they are eliminated before that stage.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,066.

Categories: Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Tournament Futures, Team Props

Notable Trades

90% winner World Cup thesis

Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% resolved-bet win rate is building a 6-market World Cup thesis and bought Colombia Yes amid strong upward price momentum.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $11.8K lifetime.
They have placed $9.1K across 6 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
Colombia Yes has moved up 21 percentage points in a day, and this wallet still bought at 51¢.

$1,066 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 45602434, $4,401 (68% win rate)
0x555a...6ee2 — Outcome 45602434, $3,290 (43% win rate)
0xfd97...0ec5 — Outcome 45602434, $3,031 (64% win rate)
0x5c57...5b16 — Outcome 45602434, $3,000
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 45602434, $2,912 (69% win rate)
0x5a0d...40ca — Outcome 45602434, $2,097 (91% win rate)
0xc94e...f946 — Outcome 45602434, $2,090 (90% win rate)
0xec8c...8961 — Outcome 45602434, $2,000 (100% win rate)
0xe2b1...7d2a — Outcome 45602434, $2,000 (46% win rate)
0x364f...1515 — Outcome 45602434, $2,000

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Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals$1,066 tracked1 signalSoccer2026 FIFA World CupSportsworld cupFIFA World CupTournament FuturesTeam Props

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades