Part of: TN-09 House Election Winner

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

This Polymarket asks whether the Republican candidate will win Tennessee’s TN-09 seat in the U.S. House in the 2026 midterm election. The supplied market data does not include current Yes/No odds; the market is scheduled to resolve after the November 3, 2026 election, based on the winning candidate’s party.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,520.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Nov 4 Elections, Midterms, House Elections, Tennessee Midterm, US Election, Tossup House Races

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adding Yes

A profitable serial cross-market trader with an 82% record is adding to a Yes position with a $2,520 buy in a low-volume market.

  • This bettor has won 82 of 82 resolved bets? No: 67 of 82, with $94,102 in profit.
  • They are adding $2,520 to an existing Yes position; the trade is 233% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The trader has positioned across 35 events and 45 markets, with an 82% win rate.

$2,520 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,055
  2. 0x94c4...43ca — No, $3,820 (76% win rate)
  3. 0xd3ec...6603 — Yes, $3,000 (82% win rate)
  4. 0x814d...b842 — Yes, $1,000 (44% win rate)
  5. 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $833 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x6d65...3781 — No, $750
  7. 0x66e7...8bcd — Yes, $668 (76% win rate)
  8. 0x6b44...be1e — No, $624 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x21ff...0d71 — Yes, $611
  10. 0xd218...b5c9 — Yes, $482 (49% win rate)

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Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

TN-09 House Election Winner$2,520 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsNov 4 ElectionsMidtermsHouse ElectionsTennessee MidtermUS ElectionTossup House Races
Yes
78¢
No
23¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Price History — “Yes”
86¢
81¢
76¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

2026-11-02 00:26 UTC

$2,520 on Yes at 84¢

84¢→78¢↓6¢

Related Theses