Part of: When will GPT-5.6 be released?
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,990.
Categories: AI, Tech, OpenAI, gpt, rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Notable Trades
New wallet chasing momentum
A 16-hour-old wallet made a $3.6K buy into a fast-moving AI release market, with recent odds momentum supporting the direction despite no resolved track record.
- A brand-new wallet put $3.6K on Yes within its first day of activity.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 36 points in 24 hours and 50 points this week.
- The bet is meaningful relative to liquidity, equal to about one-third of the visible market depth.
$3,586 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet moving AI odds
A 17-hour-old wallet made a $3.9k fresh bet that GPT-5.6 will miss the June 28 deadline, contributing to a sharp one-day price move in a moderately thin market.
- A brand-new wallet put $3.9k on GPT-5.6 missing the June 28 deadline.
- The market has surged 46 points in a day, with this trade entering at 54¢ and Yes now around 58¢.
- The bet was large versus the $6.4k liquidity, suggesting concentrated conviction.
$3,882 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
81% winner buying Yes
Surfaced because a wallet with an 81% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Yes on this AI release-date market at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $6.6K lifetime.
- They are buying Yes at 24¢, implying they see meaningful upside versus the current market price.
- The wallet has been flagged 7 times before and is placing fresh money into a market that is up 10% over the past week.
$1,065 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
83% winner backs No
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has an 83% record across 1,120 resolved bets and is buying No with size in a quiet market.
- This bettor has won 83% of 1,120 resolved bets and is up $5.6K lifetime.
- They bought $1.46K of No at 78¢, a trade nearly equal to the market’s recent 24h volume.
- The market is relatively quiet, so this size suggests real conviction on GPT-5.6 not releasing by June 28.
$1,458 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 80712972, $77,094
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 80712972, $3,360
- 0x0149...d3c5 — Outcome 80712972, $3,085
- 0x2589...6868 — Outcome 80712972, $2,588 (100% win rate)
- 0x9352...2227 — Outcome 80712972, $2,478 (65% win rate)
- 0xe32b...626e — Outcome 80712972, $2,423
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 80712972, $2,395
- 0x93a9...0b88 — Outcome 80712972, $2,085 (53% win rate)
- 0x37b2...ab29 — Outcome 80712972, $1,159
- 0x7bec...b4e2 — Outcome 80712972, $1,056 (80% win rate)
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