Cross-Market Thesis

Araghchi signs, Ghalibaf doesn't

This trader is expressing a view that Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?, Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,112 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x2b67073% win rate

Total

$5,112

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
    $1,860 @ 88¢
  2. 2Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
    $3,252 @ 72¢
Araghchi signs, Ghalibaf doesn't — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter