Part of: Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,449.

Categories: Politics, Industry, outage, hack, Tech, Big Tech, Business

Notable Trades

95% winner buying No

Surface despite weak alert score because the bettor has a strong 95% resolved win record and is taking a sizable No position in a quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is profitable across 61 decisions.
  • They bought No at 66¢ in a quiet market; the bet was about 45% of the last 24h volume.
  • The market has already moved toward No today, with Yes down 15.5%.

$1,449 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37a1...b0c8 No, $5,004 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xe937...d46a Yes, $3,134
  3. 0x9e8e...8db8 Yes, $982 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x0cb1...a76c Yes, $835
  5. 0x058f...4883 No, $827 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x64b8...051b No, $624
  7. 0x83c5...e193 Yes, $532
  8. 0xbb9f...557b Yes, $300
  9. 0xda44...2e5a Yes, $243
  10. 0x272c...7f07 No, $226

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

119dAnother critical Cloudflare incident by...?$1,449 tracked1 signalPoliticsIndustryoutagehackTechBig TechBusiness
Yes
33¢
No
68¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
69¢
58¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

2h ago

$1,449 on No at 66¢

66¢68¢2¢