Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,472.
Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
88% serial sharp buying Up
A highly proven 88% winner with $210k lifetime profit is effectively buying Up on WTI after heavy cross-market activity and a sharp recent move.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $210k lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader, with $5.1M deployed across 160 events.
- Selling Down at 77¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 23¢, a high-upside contrarian entry.
$1,611 on Up | Wallet win rate: 87%
95% serial cross-market trader
A high-frequency cross-market trader with a 95% resolved hit rate bought Down as the market rapidly repriced toward that outcome.
- This bettor has won 1,159 of 1,217 resolved bets across many markets.
- They bought Down at 77¢ while the market was rapidly moving that way, with Down now around 78¢.
- The trade came during a sharp repricing: Down jumped about 25 points in four minutes.
$3,000 on Down | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial macro trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 62% record over 265 resolved bets bought WTI Up at 54¢, though the position size is modest.
- This bettor has won 62% of 265 resolved bets and is up $113k lifetime.
- They have traded across 29 events and 43 markets, suggesting a repeatable macro strategy.
- Entry at 54¢ is slightly below the current 56% market price.
$1,022 on Up | Wallet win rate: 62%
88% winner buying oil Down
A highly proven cross-market trader with an 88% resolved-bet win rate bought WTI Down at 23¢, and the market has already moved to 30¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $209k lifetime.
- They bought Down at 23¢, and the market has already moved to 30¢.
- The bet was large for this market, equal to about 65% of recent volume.
$2,839 on Down | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x1a1a...f6d8 — Outcome 76265908, $2,019
- 0x629b...b236 — Outcome 76265908, $850
- 0xf60e...936d — Outcome 76265908, $841
- 0xfb59...83f9 — Outcome 76265908, $588 (72% win rate)
- 0xcbbc...b5e1 — Outcome 76265908, $500
- 0xe286...7735 — Outcome 76265908, $500
- 0x3d4a...4256 — Outcome 76265908, $274
- 0x1bc2...e51b — Outcome 76265908, $253
- 0x3c36...2646 — Outcome 76265908, $153
- 0x204b...8ca3 — Outcome 76265908, $142
Related Theses
WTI tops out below $120
Covers 7 related markets
Natural gas swings wildly in May
Covers 4 related markets
