Part of: Farrer By-Election Winner
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,066.
Categories: Politics, Global Elections, Australia, Elections, by election, Farrer, Main Election, rewards 100, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
85% winner with 19-wallet cluster
Highly proven cross-market bettor with 85% win rate and a 19-wallet funded cluster bought Yes on a rising political market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.29M lifetime.
- The wallet is part of a 19-wallet funded cluster, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the Yes side.
- They bought Yes at 82¢ and the market has already moved to 86¢, with odds up 12 points this week.
$4,066 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 91176386, $19,663
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 91176386, $4,675 (71% win rate)
- 0xa42c...5a6e — Outcome 91176386, $4,110
- 0x5462...eed6 — Outcome 88845116, $2,098 (40% win rate)
- 0x2b9d...74f5 — Outcome 91176386, $1,471
- 0x9013...fc71 — Outcome 91176386, $1,108 (90% win rate)
- 0xc978...aa84 — Outcome 88845116, $461 (91% win rate)
- 0xf254...53c8 — Outcome 88845116, $460 (89% win rate)
- 0xff05...fad7 — Outcome 91176386, $379
- 0xa99b...1211 — Outcome 91176386, $300
Related Theses
Starmer stays past June 2026
Covers 3 related markets
Democrats win House majority
Covers 1 related market
