Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,956.

Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor leads coordinated Yes buying

Three wallets bought $11.9K of Yes, including a bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge, while odds rose 49% over the week.

  • A proven bettor wins 81% of resolved trades, is up $13,696, and has beaten their average odds by 23%.
  • Three wallets committed $11,864 to Yes, with two adding to existing positions and the market up 49% over the past week.
  • The group entered around 68¢ on average while Yes now trades near 74%, implying continued conviction in a September release.

$11,864 on Yes

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $3,092 to an existing Yes position, though the market is already priced near their entry.

  • This bettor has won 17 of 21 resolved trades, with a $13,696 lifetime profit and average winning entry price of 64%.
  • They added $3,092 to an existing Yes position at 73%, signaling continued conviction in the Mythos-class release thesis.
  • Yes has risen 40.5% over the past week, but the 73% entry offers only moderate upside at the current market price.

$3,092 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 82276958, $30,639 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x6b0e...e3ea Outcome 82276958, $2,786
  3. 0xf427...15e1 Outcome 11344231, $2,533
  4. 0x2ccf...5f6a Outcome 82276958, $2,000
  5. 0xe2cf...4c49 Outcome 82276958, $1,701
  6. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 82276958, $1,520 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x33d4...fb1a Outcome 82276958, $1,097
  8. 0x3879...d8c3 Outcome 82276958, $1,000
  9. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 82276958, $1,000
  10. 0x0826...0b32 Outcome 82276958, $1,000 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Mythos model launches by August 31

Covers 3 related markets

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

ResolvedNext Mythos-Class Model released by…?$14,956 tracked2 signalsClaude MythosClaudeAIAnthropic IPOTechAnthropicAI RegulationAI Releases

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

12d ago

$11,864 on Yes at 68¢

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?

13d ago

$3,092 on Yes at 73¢

Related Theses