Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
9 signals across 5 markets · $26,225 tracked · resolves Sep 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Anthropic releases its next qualifying Mythos-class model to the general public by August 31, 2026. View the Yes/No prediction-market odds and smart money activity, including a recent heavy No position from a serial trader.
Markets (5)
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?2 signals · $14,956 tracked
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?4 signals · $6,590 tracked
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?1 signal · $2,048 tracked
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?1 signal · $1,568 tracked
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?1 signal · $1,063 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Seven-wallet funded Yes cluster
Seven wallets sharing a funder are coordinating a fresh Yes position in a moderately liquid AI-release market, with price up 8% in a day.
$2,048Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 8.7 - Sharp bettor leads coordinated Yes buying
Three wallets bought $11.9K of Yes, including a bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge, while odds rose 49% over the week.
$11,864Score: 5.9 - Proven sharp adding to No
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding to an existing No position at market odds.
$2,110Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Proven sharp adding to No
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding to an existing No position at market odds.
$1,700Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Serial sharp scaling into No
A proven 78% winner with extensive cross-market activity is adding $1,568 to an existing No position at near-even odds.
$1,568Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Serial trader scaling into Yes
A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding substantially to an existing Yes position in a thin market after a sharp price rise.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.3 - Sharp bettor scales into Yes
A proven 81% bettor with positive edge is adding to an existing Yes position with a bet representing 83% of recent market volume.
$1,063Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 3.9 - Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and meaningful edge is adding $3,092 to an existing Yes position, though the market is already priced near their entry.
$3,092Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 3.7 - Serial trader backs No heavily
A proven serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate placed a large, highly concentrated No bet in a thin market.
$1,731Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x277989…239a$5,378 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x02981e…5cdc$4,155 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$2,048 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x524db8…4495$1,731 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x2b670a…b814$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of Anthropic releasing its next Mythos-class model by August 31?
The live Yes/No prices on PolySpotter represent the market’s current implied odds. Check the event page for the latest prediction-market pricing and changes.
What is the Anthropic Mythos-class model prediction market?
It is a Polymarket event asking whether Anthropic will publicly release a qualifying next Mythos-class model by August 31, 2026. A model qualifies if its official name includes “Mythos” or Anthropic describes it as Mythos-class or similar.
What is smart money doing in this Anthropic model market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,731 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert says a serial trader backed No heavily.
When does this Anthropic prediction market resolve?
The child market is based on whether the model is publicly available by August 31, 2026, in Eastern Time. The event’s listed resolution deadline is September 30, 2026.