Part of: Kash Patel out by...?
Kash Patel out by June 30?
This prediction market asks whether Kash Patel will cease to be Director of the FBI at any point by June 30, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if an official resignation or removal is announced before the deadline, even if the departure takes effect later; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,921 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,921.
Categories: Trump, Politics, 2026 Winter Games
Notable Trades
Kash Patel out by June 30?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,921 | Wallet win rate: 69%
79% win-rate political bettor
A profitable sharp bettor with a 79% win rate bought into a major breakout on a political market, suggesting conviction despite paying a premium above the current price.
- This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up about $18.9k on $53k invested
- They bought after this market broke far above its old range, with Yes jumping roughly 29 points beyond prior highs
- A 73¢ entry implies they see the current political risk as still underpriced despite the recent surge
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xfd39...109d — Yes, $15,756 (73% win rate)
- 0x8633...a08d — Yes, $13,334 (69% win rate)
- 0xaab9...a08d — Yes, $10,369 (59% win rate)
- 0x28ca...5d19 — Yes, $10,000 (67% win rate)
- 0xa81e...03dc — No, $9,851 (55% win rate)
- 0x3269...1e7c — No, $6,500 (43% win rate)
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — Yes, $5,464 (56% win rate)
- 0x0173...1949 — No, $5,428
- 0xcfb5...7d2d — No, $5,354 (65% win rate)
- 0xdf81...697d — Yes, $5,220 (47% win rate)
