Part of: "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,144.

Categories: Movies, Culture, box office, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Notable Trades

Profitable box-office repositioning

A highly active profitable bettor is repositioning across three related box-office markets during opening weekend, now buying No on this bracket after closing a prior Yes position.

This bettor is up about $506K across more than 1,000 resolved markets.
They have placed $10.8K across three related box-office brackets, suggesting a specific opening-weekend view.
They closed an earlier Yes position here and are now buying No at 76¢.

$1,932 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a long track record is buying a niche box-office bracket amid strong recent price momentum.

This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $773k lifetime.
They have traded across 88 events and 130 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
This box-office bracket is up 17.7 percentage points in the last day, and they entered Yes around 30¢.

$1,550 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable bettor flips Yes

Profitable 76% winner is flipping from a prior No position into Yes across related box office markets, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $36,755 lifetime.
They previously held No here but closed it and bought Yes at 30¢, signaling a view change.
They are also active across related box office markets, with $3,502 positioned in this event.

$1,662 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 97428075, $64,163
0x1842...0009 — Outcome 35152934, $8,700
0x44c1...ebc1 — Outcome 35152934, $8,325 (58% win rate)
0x4155...35ce — Outcome 97428075, $7,413 (50% win rate)
0xb94c...b5b5 — Outcome 35152934, $4,458 (76% win rate)
0xab18...467d — Outcome 35152934, $4,147
0x4213...67f5 — Outcome 35152934, $3,606
0xadad...fff3 — Outcome 35152934, $3,601
0x1920...a04e — Outcome 35152934, $2,794 (61% win rate)
0x6018...170c — Outcome 35152934, $2,237 (42% win rate)

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Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Resolved"The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office$5,144 tracked3 signalsMoviesCulturebox officeRewards 50, 4.5, 20

This market will resolve according to how much "The Mandalorian and Grogu" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “No”

102¢

86¢

71¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction