Part of: CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,810.

Categories: Politics, Elections, primary elections, Primaries, Colorado Primary, Democratic Primary, House Primary, June 30 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Million-profit serial sharp

A highly profitable 79% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought No against the favored nominee, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $3.84M lifetime.
They are a seasoned cross-market trader, active across 151 events and $5.7M in flagged volume.
Buying No at 22¢ goes against the 78% favorite after a 25-point weekly move, suggesting they see the favorite as overpriced.

$1,094 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial political trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large $10.7k Yes buy on a niche political primary market that has moved sharply upward this week.

This bettor has made 959 resolved trades, winning 69% and earning about $910k lifetime.
They put $10.7k on Yes at 78¢, a large single bet equal to 59% of the market’s 24h volume.
The market has already moved up 35.5 points this week, and this trade adds to the momentum.

$10,716 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

0xde7b...5f4b — No, $41,890 (79% win rate)
0xecaa...77a9 — Yes, $23,486 (69% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — No, $11,810
0x1c14...0869 — Yes, $9,140 (63% win rate)
0xad89...f6e1 — Yes, $8,575 (67% win rate)
0xc01f...cd8e — Yes, $6,599 (61% win rate)
0x7447...a16d — No, $6,449 (56% win rate)
0x2200...0f2d — No, $6,202 (31% win rate)
0x0e64...336d — Yes, $6,085 (42% win rate)
0xa8f1...d87b — No, $5,699

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

ResolvedCO-01 Democratic Primary Winner$11,810 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsprimary electionsPrimariesColorado PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryHouse PrimaryJune 30 PrimariesUS Election

Yes

84¢

17¢

Yes

84¢

17¢

Price History — “Yes”

85¢

65¢

44¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction