What does this Crude Oil $110 prediction market cover?

The market covers whether the active-month CME Crude Oil (CL) futures settlement price reaches at least $110 on any trading day before the end of June 2026.

When does the Crude Oil $110 market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the final trading day of June 2026, with a listed resolution date of June 30, 2026 at 18:30 UTC.

What price source determines the outcome?

Resolution is based on the official CME settlement price for the active, or front-month, Crude Oil (CL) futures contract.

What would make the market resolve Yes?

It resolves Yes if the official CME settlement price for active-month CL futures is equal to or above $110 on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,064 in smart money exposure and 1 signal on this market, with alerts referencing macro traders, oil ladder positioning, and sharp cross-market oil betting.

Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will reach or exceed $110 on any trading day by the final trading day of June 2026. It resolves Yes if CL settles at or above $110 before the deadline; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,064 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this oil futures market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,077.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

82% oil ladder sharp

Sharp 82% lifetime winner with $543k profit is adding to a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, buying No on the $110 by June outcome.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $543k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.4M deployed across 146 related markets.
This is part of a broader crude oil ladder position: 9 markets and about $49k in the same event.

$1,064 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

13-wallet funded cluster

High-severity linked-wallet cluster is taking the No side on a crude oil $110 touch market, with related positioning across the event despite the individual wallet's only modest track record.

13 linked wallets share the same funder, a strong sign this is one coordinated oil-market view.
The group has about $7k positioned across related crude-oil strike markets.
Latest entry buys No at 73¢ even after Yes moved up 6.5 points today.

$1,445 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Sharp bettor flips to No

Sharp 81% lifetime wallet flipped from a prior Yes position into No while building a broader $21k cross-market crude oil thesis.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $16.6k lifetime.
They are betting across 4 related crude oil markets, with $21k committed to the broader thesis.
They previously held Yes here but closed it and bought No at 76¢, signaling a directional flip.

$2,278 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp crude cross-market bettor

Sharp 81% lifetime winner is expressing a cross-market crude-oil thesis by buying No on the $110 by June contract.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $16.6K lifetime.
They have positioned across 4 related crude-oil markets with about $19K total exposure.
Buying No at 73¢ implies confidence crude stays below $110 by end of June.

$1,414 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable oil cross-market sharp

Sharp, highly profitable cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes at 22¢ on a crude oil $110-by-June market while positioning across 9 related markets.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up about $532K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.3M traded across 50 events.
This is part of a larger $31K position across 9 related markets, suggesting a coordinated oil-price thesis.

$1,248 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp cross-market oil bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% record and extensive cross-market oil positioning is effectively buying Yes at 21¢ on CL hitting $110 by end of June.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $532K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.3M deployed across 143 related markets.
This is part of a broader 9-market position worth $36K, with entry at 21¢ implying a high-upside oil spike bet.

$1,975 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Macro trader across 12 oil markets

A profitable macro-style wallet is expressing a sizable coordinated No thesis across 12 related crude oil markets, including this $6.6k buy at 78¢.

This wallet has placed $147k across 12 related oil markets, showing a broad bearish thesis on crude hitting high targets.
The bettor is up $271k lifetime across $10.6M traded, despite a modest 45% hit rate.
They bought No at 78¢ while Yes odds have dropped 28.5% over the past week.

$6,615 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%

82% winner oil thesis

Sharp 82% lifetime bettor with $519k profit is adding a cross-market oil thesis by buying No on crude hitting $110.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $519k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.1M deployed across 50 events.
They have $23k across 6 related markets, suggesting a broader crude-oil thesis.

$1,314 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Sharp macro bettor with an 82% win rate and over $519k lifetime profit is building a cross-market crude oil thesis against CL hitting $110 by June 2026.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $519k lifetime.
They have placed $24k across 6 related crude oil markets, showing a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Buying No at 73¢ aligns with recent market momentum, with Yes odds down 11 points today and 29 points this week.

$2,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% serial macro trader

Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is adding to a cross-market No thesis on crude hitting $110.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $519k lifetime.
They are active across 6 related markets with $24k committed, showing a broader crude-oil thesis.
The market has already moved toward No, with Yes down sharply over the past day and week.

$4,269 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%