Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

25 smart money signals detected, totaling $89,101.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with extensive history is taking a fresh No position on crude oil hitting $110, though the edge is moderate and the bet is on a relatively liquid market.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,626 resolved trades and $245K in lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 383 markets and $1.6M of related event flow.
This is a fresh No position at 89¢ after previously closing a Yes position, signaling a bearish reversal on oil reaching $110.

$2,225 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable macro bettor

Surface: a highly profitable wallet with 1,132 resolved bets and $303k lifetime profit is buying No across related crude-oil threshold markets.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $303k lifetime.
They have placed $18.4k across 4 related crude-oil markets, all pointing to the same oil-price thesis.
Entry at 85¢ has already moved to 88¢, suggesting the market is following their No position.

$2,512 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

81% winner macro thesis

A highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet is expressing a bullish crude-oil thesis across 9 related markets, converting this SELL No into a BUY Yes at 16¢.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
They have put $87k across 9 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broader bullish thesis.
Selling No at 84¢ equals buying Yes at 16¢, implying a high-upside bet on oil reaching $110.

$1,344 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Macro whale across 13 markets

Experienced macro bettor is re-entering No at 88¢ as part of a much larger $240k cross-market crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets.

This bettor has deployed about $240k across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad directional view.
They are re-entering No with a $9.2k buy at 88¢, betting CL does not settle at or above $110 by end of June.
The wallet is up $214k lifetime, and the market has moved toward No over the past week.

$9,244 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Sharp energy thesis trader

Proven sharp cross-market trader with 81% win rate and $570k lifetime profit is adding to a large crude-oil thesis by buying No at 89¢.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
They are active across 9 related crude-oil markets with $83.8k positioned in this event.
Buying No at 89¢ aligns with recent market momentum, with Yes down 7 points today and 13 points this week.

$1,068 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

81% winner buying NO

A proven 81% win-rate wallet with $570k lifetime profit is buying No while running a large cross-market thesis across related crude oil markets.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.6M deployed across 156 markets and an 81% record.
This is part of a larger oil thesis: 9 related markets and nearly $70k positioned the same event.

$2,133 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

13-market oil thesis

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad 13-market crude oil thesis, adding No on $110 after oil odds weakened sharply.

This high-volume bettor is up $257k lifetime despite a modest hit rate, suggesting selective sizing has worked well.
They have bet $271k across 13 related crude oil markets, pointing to a broad thesis rather than a one-off trade.
Oil has moved against Yes recently, with this market down 8.5% in the past day and the bettor buying No at 86¢.

$1,521 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable oil ladder bettor

Profitable macro-style wallet is building a large cross-market crude oil thesis, with $274k spread across 13 related markets and this trade adding to the No side.

This bettor is up $257k lifetime and has deployed $274k across 13 related crude oil markets.
They bought No at 82¢, betting crude stays below $110 through June 2026.
The market is already moving their way, with Yes odds down about 10 points today.

$7,338 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, buying No on crude hitting $110 by June 2026.

This bettor has won 82% of 243 resolved bets and is up $566,758 lifetime.
They have positioned across 9 related oil markets with $66,776 in total exposure.
Buying No at 77¢ suggests confidence crude stays below $110 through June 2026.

$1,925 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable 13-market oil thesis

Profitable wallet is expressing a large cross-market crude-oil upside thesis, including an $8.9k equivalent BUY Yes at 20¢ on CL hitting $110 by June 2026.

This wallet is up $246k lifetime and is positioning across 13 related crude-oil markets.
The trade is equivalent to buying Yes at 20¢, below the current 22–23¢ market.
This single bet was 76% of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction.

$8,873 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%