Part of: Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

This prediction market asks whether Tesla and SpaceX will officially announce a merger or acquisition by December 31, 2026. A qualifying announcement by either company can resolve the market to Yes even if the deal has not yet closed; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,117 in smart money activity, with a recent alert showing a high-win trader buying No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,117.

Categories: Tesla, Elon Musk, SpaceX, Big Tech, Space, Tech

Notable Trades

93% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on the Tesla/SpaceX merger market at 75¢.

  • This bettor has won 39 of 42 resolved bets and is up $8,775 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 75¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ in their favor.
  • The market is relatively quiet, so a $1.1K buy from a proven wallet is worth watching.

$1,117 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf192...6ee2 Yes, $12,335 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xd5b9...e44e Yes, $6,976 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $6,823 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x4042...ddfc Yes, $6,619
  5. 0x1543...baaf Yes, $4,470 (37% win rate)
  6. 0xb5b6...1fda No, $4,198 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x45cc...6400 No, $3,487 (74% win rate)
  8. 0xfd0e...d918 No, $3,000 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x2826...f448 No, $2,740
  10. 0x808a...ef3f Yes, $2,697 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Bitcoin will hit both extremes

Covers 2 related markets

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

128dTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?$1,117 tracked1 signalTeslaElon MuskSpaceXBig TechSpaceTech
Yes
19¢
No
82¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
84¢
82¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

52d ago

$1,117 on No at 75¢

75¢82¢7¢

Related Theses