Part of: Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
This prediction market asks whether Tesla and SpaceX will officially announce a merger or acquisition by December 31, 2026. A qualifying announcement by either company can resolve the market to Yes even if the deal has not yet closed; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,117 in smart money activity, with a recent alert showing a high-win trader buying No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,117.
Categories: Tesla, Elon Musk, SpaceX, Big Tech, Space, Tech
Notable Trades
93% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on the Tesla/SpaceX merger market at 75¢.
- This bettor has won 39 of 42 resolved bets and is up $8,775 lifetime.
- They bought No at 75¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ in their favor.
- The market is relatively quiet, so a $1.1K buy from a proven wallet is worth watching.
$1,117 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%
Top Holders
- 0xf192...6ee2 — Yes, $12,335 (67% win rate)
- 0xd5b9...e44e — Yes, $6,976 (59% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $6,823 (48% win rate)
- 0x4042...ddfc — Yes, $6,619
- 0x1543...baaf — Yes, $4,470 (37% win rate)
- 0xb5b6...1fda — No, $4,198 (55% win rate)
- 0x45cc...6400 — No, $3,487 (74% win rate)
- 0xfd0e...d918 — No, $3,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x2826...f448 — No, $2,740
- 0x808a...ef3f — Yes, $2,697 (71% win rate)
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