Part of: 2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,225.

Categories: UK, United Kingdom, Elections, England, Politics, Liberal Democrats, Global Elections

Notable Trades

New wallet fading favorite

A 1-day-old repeat large bettor is taking the contrarian No side in a thin long-dated UK politics market.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has now made $4.2k of flagged bets, taking the underdog side here.
  • The trade is large for this quiet market, equal to roughly 39% of available liquidity.
  • Buying No around 12¢ is a contrarian bet against an 88% favorite.

$1,437 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

New wallet backs YES before vote

A 2-hour-old wallet made a concentrated $2.8k Yes bet on a thin UK election market just days before voting, with recent price momentum supporting the move.

  • A brand-new wallet put $2.8k on Yes within hours of being created.
  • The bet was huge for this quiet market, flagged at about 97x prior 24h volume.
  • Yes has already moved from 71¢ to 88¢ over the past week, matching the direction of this trade.

$2,788 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x20f7...5527 Outcome 63289235, $526 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xcb3b...a2b6 Outcome 63289235, $420
  3. 0x24bd...9dd5 Outcome 63289235, $181
  4. 0x7300...e2e1 Outcome 63289235, $88
  5. 0x9ee8...1b93 Outcome 63289235, $69 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x9a94...d5f9 Outcome 63289235, $50
  7. 0x15da...4e2a Outcome 63289235, $49
  8. 0xecb2...a30c Outcome 63289235, $35
  9. 0x6771...4610 Outcome 63289235, $34
  10. 0xaed2...9449 Outcome 86980211, $29

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Resolved2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?$4,225 tracked2 signalsUKUnited KingdomElectionsEnglandPoliticsLiberal DemocratsGlobal Elections

United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democrats wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Liberal Democrats if they are officially nominated by the Liberal Democrats and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Liberal Democrats. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.

Notable Trades

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

44d ago

$1,437 on No at 12¢

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

45d ago

$2,788 on Yes at 85¢