Part of: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the May 10 MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $7,294 in smart money across 3 signals, with recent alerts showing notable Giants flow as well as sharp Pirates buying. The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with final resolution no later than May 17, 2026.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for May 10 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,103.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
New profitable MLB whale
A 1-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags is buying Giants despite a sharp price drop, suggesting fresh conviction from an emerging sports bettor.
- This 1-day-old wallet is already up $893 and has been flagged 3 times for large bets.
- They bought $1.3K of Giants at 80¢ even after the price fell sharply, suggesting conviction against the move.
- The wallet has won 5 of 6 resolved bets so far, though the track record is still early.
$1,314 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial sports trader
Serial cross-market sports trader with a large 2,225-bet history and positive lifetime P&L bought Giants at 78% before the market moved to 82%.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 2,225 resolved bets, 71% wins, and about $62.8K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 490 events with over $1.0M traded, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- They bought San Francisco at 78%, and the market is already up to 82%, giving early confirmation of the move.
$1,950 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports bettor
High-volume serial sports trader with over $2M lifetime profit bought $4K of Giants during a pre-game volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has a massive track record: 26,336 resolved bets and over $2.0M in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 1,377 events, with more than $9.4M tracked in similar event flow.
- The Giants saw a 24.5x pre-game volume spike and a fast 10-point move, suggesting meaningful market attention.
$4,030 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable sports regular
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought nearly $10k of Giants, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry from 86% to 60%.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 1,077 resolved bets, 67% wins, and about $193k in profit.
- They put nearly $10k on San Francisco at 86¢, showing strong conviction from a proven sports trader.
- The market has moved against them to around 60¢, so copying now is a much cheaper entry than the original trade.
$9,999 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Giants despite a sharp market drop, with a volume spike and major price impact adding context.
- This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved trades.
- They are a massive serial cross-market trader, with $9.4M flagged across 1,597 markets.
- They bought Giants at 80¢ before the market fell to 60¢, so this is now only worth copying if the price remains near the current discount.
$3,151 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Giants despite the market later moving sharply against them, with broader volume and price-impact signals around the game.
- This bettor has a strong long-term record: 67% winners across 192 resolved bets and $151K profit.
- They are an active cross-market trader, with $464K placed across 50 events.
- The entry was aggressive at 85¢, though the Giants have since fallen to about 60¢.
$1,498 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 67%
Serial sports trader momentum
Serial cross-market sports bettor bought Giants during a strong pre-game volume spike and short-term price move, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
- This is a very active cross-market bettor with 562 resolved bets and over $8.5M wagered.
- The market saw a 17x volume spike and the Giants price jumped 10 points in about 2 minutes.
- They bought Giants at 79¢ and the market has already moved to 82¢.
$1,800 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced and profitable cross-market sports trader bought $10k of Giants at 76¢ before the price moved to 82¢ amid a strong pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has 1,077 resolved trades, wins 67% of them, and is up about $193k lifetime.
- They put $10k on the Giants at 76¢, and the market has already moved to 82¢.
- Volume spiked 17x above normal with a quick 10-point move toward the Giants.
$10,000 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale joins Giants flow
A brand-new repeat whale is part of an 8-wallet one-sided move into San Francisco, with a large sell of Pittsburgh equivalent to buying Giants at 15¢ before the market moved sharply.
- A 4-hour-old wallet has already had $9.2K in flagged bets and is taking another meaningful position here.
- 8 wallets are all betting the same way on San Francisco, totaling $24.6K in one-sided flow.
- This trade effectively bought San Francisco at 15¢ before the market moved toward 50¢.
$1,020 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active profitable sports bettor joined one-sided Giants flow during a major pre-game move, effectively buying San Francisco at 51¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,092 resolved bets, a 67% win rate, and $327k in profit.
- Eight wallets are betting the same way, with $24.6k flowing toward San Francisco.
- The trade effectively buys San Francisco at 51¢ after a sharp price move against Pittsburgh.
$2,945 on San Francisco Giants | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $66,491 (73% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Pittsburgh Pirates, $57,138 (51% win rate)
- 0x5234...4c4f — San Francisco Giants, $49,919 (57% win rate)
- 0xd959...daf7 — Pittsburgh Pirates, $30,004
- 0x84cf...2f63 — San Francisco Giants, $27,869 (51% win rate)
- 0xfefb...4b5d — San Francisco Giants, $26,940 (48% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — San Francisco Giants, $23,418
- 0xf152...64aa — Pittsburgh Pirates, $23,194 (67% win rate)
- 0xbd14...d62a — Pittsburgh Pirates, $20,133 (91% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — San Francisco Giants, $20,000 (78% win rate)
