Part of: MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,245.

Categories: US Election, Elections, Politics, Primaries, USA Election, House Primary, Michigan Primary, primary elections, August 4 Primaries, Democratic Primary

Notable Trades

New wallet scaling into Yes

A very new wallet has repeatedly added a sizable Yes position in a relatively thin market, though it has no resolved-track-record evidence yet.

  • A wallet less than eight hours old has made three flagged large bets totaling $3,761 across five positions.
  • It is adding to an existing Yes position, with about $2,745 invested in this market at an average entry near 83¢.
  • The bet is substantial relative to recent volume and the market has risen 8% over the past day, but the wallet has no resolved positions proving an edge.

$1,245 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?

MI-01 Democratic Primary Winner$1,245 tracked1 signalUS ElectionElectionsPoliticsPrimariesUSA ElectionHouse PrimaryMichigan Primaryprimary electionsAugust 4 PrimariesDemocratic Primary
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Notable Trades

Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?

2026-08-03 08:12 UTC

$1,245 on Yes at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢