Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,196.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Culture, Trump-Netanyahu

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and 26-point edge bought Yes at 63%, followed by a sharp move to 100%.

This bettor wins 95% of trades, with $111,295 in profit across 91 resolved positions.
They bought Yes at 63%, and the market has since surged to 100%, strongly validating the position.
The wallet has traded across 35 events and 42 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,555 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable whale scales into No

Three wallets are positioning for No, led by a profitable high-volume bettor adding to an existing No position despite a sharp Yes price surge.

A bettor with 1,143 resolved trades and $1.1 million lifetime profit bought another $5,268 of No and already holds a $14,917 No position.
Three wallets committed $9,641 to No, including two traders exiting Yes positions in favor of the opposite outcome.
No was bought at 36¢ while the market had surged 45% toward Yes over one day, signaling a strong contrarian view.

$9,641 on No