Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
6 signals across 3 markets · $38,821 tracked · resolves Jul 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Donald Trump will publicly insult, mock, or personally or professionally attack Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026. The event currently includes a Yes/No market, with PolySpotter tracking $4,194 in smart money and a recent serial trader scaling into No.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked cluster scaling into No
Three wallets, including two linked accounts and experienced profitable traders, made a concentrated $17,039 bet on No amid a sharp volume spike.
$17,039Score: 8.6 - Three proven wallets scaling into Yes
Three experienced wallets added $4,583 to Yes, including two highly profitable bettors, amid an 84% weekly price surge.
$4,583Score: 6.3 - Profitable whale scales into No
Three wallets are positioning for No, led by a profitable high-volume bettor adding to an existing No position despite a sharp Yes price surge.
$9,641Score: 5.1 - Serial sharp bettor buys Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and 26-point edge bought Yes at 63%, followed by a sharp move to 100%.
$1,555Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.7 - 92% winner scaling into Yes
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate added $1,809 to an already sizable Yes position at 90%, ahead of a sharp move to 94%.
$1,809Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 4.3 - Serial trader scaling into No
A serial trader with 503 resolved bets added $4,194 to an existing No position during a 72.8x volume spike, though the historical edge is modest.
$4,194Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x162f6f…798d$4,194 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$1,809 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x04785a…37c3$1,555 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Trump-Macron insult prediction market odds?
The event tracks Yes and No odds for whether Donald Trump will publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026. Check the live Polymarket market for the latest prices and implied probabilities.
What is smart money betting on in this event?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal totaling $4,194. The latest alert reports a serial trader scaling into the No outcome.
What qualifies as a public insult in this market?
The market resolves Yes if Trump makes a clearly negative public statement insulting, mocking, or attacking Macron personally or professionally. Examples include derogatory language, insulting nicknames, or calling him weak, stupid, disloyal, or a failure.
When does the Trump-Macron prediction market resolve?
The market resolves by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time, based on whether a qualifying public insult occurs between market creation and the deadline.