Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
This Polymarket asks whether María Corina Machado will physically enter Venezuela at any point before June 30, 2026. The market resolves Yes only if she enters Venezuela’s terrestrial territory by the deadline; airspace or maritime entry alone does not count. Current tracked smart money activity is limited, with $1,183 followed and one recent signal in a thin market.
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,947.
Categories: Trump-Machado, Politics, Trump, Venezuela
Notable Trades
Sharp cross-market political bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Yes after a sharp 32-point collapse, creating a credible mean-reversion or thesis-driven entry in a moderately active political market.
- This bettor has won 68% of 1,309 resolved trades and is up about $230k overall.
- They bought after Yes fell 32 points beyond its prior range, entering at 21¢ while the market was sliding.
- This single $1.8k buy was bigger than the market's earlier 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a niche political market.
$1,764 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
73% winner in thin market
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate made a market-moving buy into a very quiet Venezuela political market, suggesting fresh conviction on No.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up about $338k across 653 bets
- They bought No in a market with just $109 of 24-hour volume, and this single $1.2k trade was about 11x the day's flow
- They trade heavily across related event markets, with nearly $31.9k placed across 3 markets on this same topic
$1,183 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — No, $14,923 (70% win rate)
- 0xe738...df65 — Yes, $8,733 (68% win rate)
- 0x3269...1e7c — Yes, $2,920 (43% win rate)
- 0x4e42...49ed — Yes, $2,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x45bf...57c6 — Yes, $1,179
- 0xd054...7e38 — No, $511 (79% win rate)
- 0xf27d...e6d3 — Yes, $500
- 0xc42f...78a0 — Yes, $500
- 0x5f76...8e57 — Yes, $323
- 0xd035...f165 — No, $290
