María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
16 signals across 4 markets · $86,912 tracked · resolves Jan 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether María Corina Machado will physically enter Venezuelan territory by several deadlines, including April 30, May 31, and June 30. PolySpotter is monitoring $68,529 in tracked smart money across the event, with recent alerts highlighting YES buying from profitable and sharp political traders in relatively thin markets.
Markets (4)
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?2 signals · $49,121 tracked
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?9 signals · $23,838 tracked
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?3 signals · $11,378 tracked
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?2 signals · $2,575 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 73% winner in thin market
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate made a market-moving buy into a very quiet Venezuela political market, suggesting fresh conviction on No.
$1,183Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 12.5 - Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Three wallets, including two linked by funding, piled $31k into NO within seconds on a modest-liquidity Venezuela political market during a 780x volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.
$31,237Score: 9.8 - Serial cross-market sharp
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 67% resolved win rate is taking a fresh Yes-equivalent position on a very quiet Venezuela/Machado market, with the trade dwarfing recent volume.
$2,917Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 9.0 - 86% win-rate serial trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and $311k lifetime profit bought Yes despite only modest market movement.
$1,075Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor put $5,000 on No in a quiet Venezuela politics market, with the trade nearly 3x recent daily volume.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 8.5 - Sharp cross-market political bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Yes after a sharp 32-point collapse, creating a credible mean-reversion or thesis-driven entry in a moderately active political market.
$1,764Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 7.0 - Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
A linked 4-wallet cluster sold No at the same second for nearly $18k, which converts to a coordinated buy of Yes around 61¢ in a market where their flow was over half of the day’s volume.
$17,884Score: 6.3 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is betting against Machado entering Venezuela, with related positions across 3 markets in the same event.
$1,775Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0 - Profitable whale in thin market
A profitable serial cross-market trader made a very large buy into an extremely thin political market, a setup that can be worth tracking despite the poor immediate mark-to-market.
$3,500Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is taking the No side on a quiet Venezuela politics market, with related positioning across the same event.
$1,476Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe47439…1508$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0xe73874…df65$5,015 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xb4f259…e5fa$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x7f2949…f03d$5,000 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xb12914…34bf$4,961 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xb10047…6461$3,398 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x67ac9e…edf1$2,917 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x95bf94…e00b$1,243 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x0a2605…1851$1,183 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$1,075 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the María Corina Machado Venezuela prediction market odds tracking?
The markets track whether María Corina Machado physically enters the terrestrial territory of Venezuela by specific deadlines. Entering Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory does not count for resolution.
What is smart money doing in the Machado Venezuela markets?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show notable YES-side activity, including buying from a 94% winner, a profitable whale in a thin market, and a repeat new wallet. There has also been activity from a sharp cross-market political bettor.
Why are there multiple markets for the same event?
This event hub covers several related deadline markets, including whether Machado enters Venezuela by April 30, May 31, or June 30. Traders can price different timelines separately rather than only betting on the overall outcome.
When do these Polymarket markets resolve?
Each child market resolves based on whether Machado enters Venezuela by its listed deadline. The broader event description references a final window through January 31, 2026, but this hub’s active markets focus on the April, May, and June deadlines.
How much smart money is tracked on this event?
PolySpotter currently tracks $68,529 in smart money activity across this María Corina Machado Venezuela event, with 8 smart money signals recorded.