Event

Will Mara Corina Machado Enter Venezuela BY January 31

8 signals across 3 markets · $68,529 tracked

Markets (3)

  1. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?2 signals · $49,121 tracked
  2. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?4 signals · $10,947 tracked
  3. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?2 signals · $8,461 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 73% winner in thin market

    A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate made a market-moving buy into a very quiet Venezuela political market, suggesting fresh conviction on No.

    $1,183Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 12.5
  2. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

    Three wallets, including two linked by funding, piled $31k into NO within seconds on a modest-liquidity Venezuela political market during a 780x volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.

    $31,237Score: 9.8
  3. Sharp cross-market political bettor

    A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Yes after a sharp 32-point collapse, creating a credible mean-reversion or thesis-driven entry in a moderately active political market.

    $1,764Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.0
  4. Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

    A linked 4-wallet cluster sold No at the same second for nearly $18k, which converts to a coordinated buy of Yes around 61¢ in a market where their flow was over half of the day’s volume.

    $17,884Score: 6.3
  5. Profitable whale in thin market

    A profitable serial cross-market trader made a very large buy into an extremely thin political market, a setup that can be worth tracking despite the poor immediate mark-to-market.

    $3,500Wallet win rate: 49%Score: 6.0
  6. Repeat new wallet buys YES

    A repeat-flagged newer wallet made a nearly $5k Yes-equivalent bet on a quiet Venezuela politics market, though there is no proven track record yet.

    $4,961Score: 4.0
  7. Profitable wallet on No thesis

    Moderately notable political-market positioning: a profitable wallet has put nearly $35k across related markets and added $7k to the favored No side in a relatively quiet market.

    $7,000Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 4.0
  8. 94% winner buying YES

    Proven high-edge wallet with a 94% resolved win rate bought Yes in a politically plausible information market, though size is modest and price has moved against them.

    $1,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xe474391508$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
  2. 0xb1291434bf$4,961 · 1 market · 1 alert
  3. 0x7f2949f03d$3,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 49% wins
  4. 0xe73874df65$1,764 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
  5. 0x0a26051851$1,183 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
  6. 0x5fdf5328a2$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins

More on this event