Part of: Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,289.

Categories: Politics, Primaries, Elections, primary elections, Governor Primary, Democratic Primary, Maine Primary, June 9 Primaries

Notable Trades

Profitable whale buying NO

A profitable high-volume political bettor made a large No buy that helped push Nirav Shah's primary odds sharply lower in a relatively thin market.

This bettor is up $573k lifetime across more than $10M in resolved bets.
They bought $4.8k of No at 80¢, a large trade relative to this market’s $7.6k liquidity.
The market has moved sharply against Shah, with Yes down 30 percentage points over the last day.

$4,762 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable wallet fading frontrunner

A profitable, experienced wallet made a meaningful contrarian No bet in a relatively thin Maine governor primary market.

This bettor has a long track record, up $115k across 274 resolved trades.
The $2.5k No buy was over 4x the market’s recent 24h volume at the time of the signal.
They are fading a strong Yes move after the price rose 29.5 points this week.

$2,527 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 66934998, $36,766 (69% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 89004222, $30,918
0x2f1a...bfa2 — Outcome 66934998, $2,716
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 66934998, $1,340
0x325f...8e0e — Outcome 66934998, $1,076 (60% win rate)
0x897a...4194 — Outcome 66934998, $653
0xdd5d...1614 — Outcome 66934998, $604 (75% win rate)
0x2409...fbec — Outcome 66934998, $490
0xaa67...19e1 — Outcome 66934998, $203
0xcd76...77bd — Outcome 89004222, $200

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Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

ResolvedMaine Governor Democratic Primary Winner$7,289 tracked2 signalsPoliticsPrimariesElectionsprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryMaine PrimaryJune 9 Primaries

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.