When is the 2027 Guerrero governor election?

The election is currently scheduled for June 6, 2027.

How will this Guerrero election market resolve?

The market resolves according to the listed candidate who wins the election, based on a consensus of credible reporting. An interim or caretaker governor does not qualify.

What happens if the Guerrero election result is unclear?

If the result is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.”

Where can I track smart money for this market?

PolySpotter tracks smart money activity and alerts for this market, including signals from large traders and notable bets.

Part of: Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?

Q: What is the Esthela Damián Peralta Guerrero prediction market?

It is a prediction market on whether Esthela Damián Peralta will win the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election in Mexico.

This prediction market tracks whether Esthela Damián Peralta will win the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election in Mexico. The election is scheduled for June 6, 2027, and the market resolves to the listed winning candidate based on a consensus of credible reporting; if the result is unresolved by December 31, 2027, it resolves to “Other.”

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,784.

Categories: Mexico, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Whale bet in a thin election market

A large $2.8K No bet overwhelms this thinly traded election market, though the wallet's mediocre historical win rate limits confidence.

The $2,785 No position is more than four times the market's reported $685 liquidity, signaling substantial conviction in a quiet market.
This serial trader has placed $606,522 across 207 markets, but its 57% win rate is only moderate evidence of an edge.
No was bought at 53¢ and now trades around 37¢, so the market has moved against this position since entry.

$2,784 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%