Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,725.
Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit
Notable Trades
93% winner buying dip
Surfaced because a profitable 14-1 wallet is buying Yes near resolution after a sharp price collapse, though the track record is mostly from high-priced favorites.
- This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved trades and is up $927 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 38¢ after the market fell sharply from its prior 73¢ range.
- The market resolves during the Trump-Xi event window, so near-term information can matter more here.
$1,709 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial event trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large 1,232-bet history, 67% win rate, and +$63k P&L is buying No on a Trump-Xi wording market.
- This bettor has a long record across 1,232 resolved bets, winning 67% and making $63k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active in 267 events with over $1M deployed.
- Buying No at 64¢ suggests they see the market overestimating Trump saying the terms.
$1,080 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable trio buys No
Three wallets bought No together, including two highly profitable bettors and one with an 84% resolved win rate, on a near-term Trump/Xi wording market that has already moved in their favor.
- This cluster includes proven profitable bettors, including one up $269K lifetime and another winning 84% of resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought the same No outcome within minutes, totaling $4.7K in coordinated flow.
- Their entries at 45–51¢ are already ahead of the current 58¢ No price, suggesting the market followed their direction.
$4,701 on No
Repeat new wallet buying Yes
A 5-day-old repeat new-wallet bettor has placed multiple large flagged bets and is buying Yes despite a recent 19-point market rally.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling about $8.1K.
- They bought Yes at 73¢ on a market that has jumped 19 points in the last day.
- The bet is modest versus market volume, but the repeat new-wallet pattern suggests conviction.
$1,235 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x1740...d7c0 — Outcome 44225747, $10,000
- 0xa40d...1b72 — Outcome 44225747, $7,491 (93% win rate)
- 0xa498...56ae — Outcome 44225747, $5,823
- 0xb79c...5b74 — Outcome 44225747, $3,600
- 0xb9cf...cbfd — Outcome 44225747, $2,497
- 0xd212...c4ec — Outcome 44225747, $2,480
- 0xfd66...fb6d — Outcome 44225747, $2,365 (23% win rate)
- 0x3f59...5409 — Outcome 44225747, $2,252
- 0x1331...523d — Outcome 44225747, $2,006
- 0x88b3...9ca3 — Outcome 44225747, $2,000
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