What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
40 signals across 9 markets · $141,482 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks what Donald Trump may say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping from May 14–15, 2026, with a child market focused on whether he says “Iran.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,154 in smart money activity across the event, including a recent signal that a 90% winner is buying YES.
Markets (9)
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?27 signals · $111,446 tracked
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?4 signals · $8,725 tracked
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?3 signals · $8,574 tracked
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?1 signal · $4,327 tracked
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?1 signal · $2,676 tracked
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?1 signal · $1,745 tracked
- Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?1 signal · $1,500 tracked
- Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?1 signal · $1,444 tracked
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?1 signal · $1,043 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial bettor flips Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is flipping into a $13k Yes position at 90¢ amid a major volume spike and strong upward momentum.
$13,063Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 10.5 - Late coordinated No buyers
Three profitable wallets bought nearly $12k of No minutes before resolution, alongside a volume spike and sharp move toward No.
$11,938Score: 10.2 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought $4.6k of No at 85¢ as the market moved sharply toward No.
$4,574Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial trader flips Yes
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large long-term edge flipped into Yes after previously closing a No position on the same market.
$1,822Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.2 - New contrarian event bettor
A 3-day-old repeat bettor is taking a contrarian No position against a 94% Yes market during a major volume spike, with early profitable history but limited sample size.
$1,184Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.2 - New repeat whale buying Yes
New repeat whale wallet is adding a fresh Yes position after previously closing a profitable entry, amid major upward momentum in the market.
$2,855Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.7 - New repeat whale buying Yes
A 7-day-old repeat large bettor is putting another $7k into Yes after 13 recent flagged bets totaling $37.5k, amid a major 24h price move.
$7,010Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.7 - Repeat new-wallet bettor
Surface as a repeat new-wallet bettor with $40k in recent flagged positions, cross-market event exposure, and a fresh Yes buy on a fast-moving Trump/Xi phrase market.
$1,508Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.7 - Profitable bettor amid volume spike
Profitable wallet bought Yes into a high-volume pre-resolution move, with a major volume spike and supportive current odds momentum.
$4,218Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 6.4 - Profitable new wallet buying Yes
A 13-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is buying Yes near resolution despite the market dropping sharply.
$1,745Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x736867…8b3b$26,000 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xecaa88…77a9$20,904 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 70% wins
- 0x0cb16f…dea6$12,609 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 88% wins
- 0xc96cb2…6a98$12,208 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xfaf981…f4c4$7,247 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x9e928c…6929$5,559 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x85b9e6…b428$4,362 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xac116f…9d3a$4,327 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0xe17689…7f65$4,218 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x3c593a…1766$3,844 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Trump saying “Iran” with Xi Jinping?
The event centers on whether Trump says the word “Iran” during events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 Beijing Time. Check the live market page for the latest YES/NO odds, as prices can move quickly around public appearances and headlines.
What is the smart money doing in this Trump-Xi prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,154 in smart money across this event and one recent signal: a 90% winner buying YES. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning for Trump to mention “Iran.”
How does this Trump-Xi Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves to YES if Donald Trump says the listed term, “Iran,” during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 Beijing Time. If he does not, it resolves to NO.
Do plurals or possessive forms count for resolution?
Yes. According to the market rules, plural and possessive forms of the listed term count regardless of context. Other variations may not count unless specified in the market’s resolution criteria.
Why are traders watching whether Trump says “Iran” during the Xi events?
Mentions markets often react to diplomatic priorities, current news, and expected talking points. Because U.S.-China talks can intersect with Iran-related policy and geopolitics, traders may see “Iran” as a plausible topic during the bilateral events.