Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
43 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,796.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil ladder whale
A profitable high-volume wallet is making a fresh $10.7k Yes buy as part of a much larger WTI cross-market position, though the fill is now underwater.
- This wallet is up $228k lifetime and has traded over $10.3M, despite winning only 42% of resolved bets.
- They have deployed about $665k across 15 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 52.5% over the past week and another 9.5% in the last day.
$10,729 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%
Profitable cross-market oil trader
Profitable wallet is expressing a broader WTI thesis across 6 related markets with $71K deployed, including a fresh $3K Buy No here.
- This bettor is up $54K lifetime and has traded 135 resolved markets.
- They have built a $71K thesis across 6 related WTI markets, not just a one-off bet.
- Entry at 22¢ implies a contrarian view against the market’s 79% Yes pricing.
$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable high-volume trader is making a contrarian No bet after positioning across 14 related oil markets, suggesting a broader WTI price thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- This wallet is up $228K lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 14 related WTI markets with $663K total exposure, suggesting a broad oil-price view.
- This trade is effectively buying No at 12¢ after Yes jumped 62 points this week.
$13,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, with $226k positioned across 12 related markets and strong recent price momentum backing the Yes side.
- This bettor is up $140k lifetime and has placed $226k across 12 related oil markets.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 57 percentage points over the past week.
- Entry at 82¢ suggests they are still adding despite Yes already trading as the heavy favorite.
$1,815 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 12 related markets with $226k positioned, though this individual add is modest.
- This bettor is up about $139k lifetime and has placed $226k across 12 related oil markets.
- They are buying Yes at 78¢ after a large weekly move, suggesting continued conviction in the WTI thesis.
- The market is liquid, so this looks more like broad positioning than a thin-market price push.
$1,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable WTI cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 14 related markets and is still buying Yes after a major price move.
- This wallet has put $624k across 14 related oil markets, suggesting a broad WTI thesis.
- The bettor is up $227k lifetime despite winning only 42% of resolved bets.
- Yes has jumped 50 points today, and this wallet is still buying at 87¢.
$5,242 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%
84% winner cross-market oil bet
Sharp profitable wallet with an 84% win rate is extending a cross-market WTI thesis by effectively buying Yes around 75¢ after strong price momentum.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $446k lifetime.
- They have put $14.8k across 5 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 75¢ after the market moved up 38 points in the last day.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable oil whale thesis
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 14 related markets with $615k deployed, and this Yes entry is already moving in its favor.
- This bettor is up $229k lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
- They have put $615k across 14 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- This Yes buy entered at 70¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢ after a 27-point jump today.
$1,408 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%
Sharp cross-market oil bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with 84% win rate and $435k lifetime P&L is building a cross-market WTI thesis, buying No at 62¢ despite only a moderate signal score.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $435k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 4 related WTI markets with $9.1k total exposure.
- Buying No at 62¢ follows a sharp 1-day move against Yes odds.
$1,860 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp wallets buying No
Three wallets, including highly profitable bettors with 79% and 84% historical win rates, are jointly buying No on this WTI $90 market with a broader cross-market oil thesis.
- The largest bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $435K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same No side at 62¢ within six minutes, totaling $4.3K.
- This is part of a broader oil-market thesis across 4 related markets, with $9.1K positioned.
$4,251 on No
Top Holders
- 0xf396...ed0d — Outcome 11082617, $66,613 (92% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 11082617, $21,055 (99% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 11082617, $16,509 (81% win rate)
- 0x7ec7...c43e — Outcome 11082617, $12,581
- 0xa0dd...1b9b — Outcome 11082617, $8,513 (83% win rate)
- 0x7253...89ed — Outcome 11082617, $6,972
- 0x7d2f...cd46 — Outcome 11082617, $6,128
- 0xb416...c7a1 — Outcome 11082617, $5,365 (63% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 11082617, $5,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xe94b...5abe — Outcome 11082617, $4,609 (73% win rate)
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WTI stays between $90 and $105
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