What is the Elon Musk 80-99 tweets prediction market about?

This market predicts whether Elon Musk’s @elonmusk account will post between 80 and 99 qualifying times on X during the one-week period from May 8 to May 15, 2026.

Which Elon Musk posts count toward the 80-99 total?

Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count. Replies do not count, except for replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. Deleted posts can also count if they are available long enough to be recorded.

When does this Elon Musk tweet count market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on May 15, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, after the posting window ends at 12:00 PM ET that day.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $4,351 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market, including a recent alert noting that an 87% winner bought No.

How can I use this market to follow Elon Musk tweet activity?

This market provides a tradable forecast for Elon Musk’s posting volume over a defined week. Watching odds changes and smart money alerts can help you see whether traders expect his activity to fall inside or outside the 80-99 post range.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make 80 to 99 qualifying X posts between May 8 at 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves on May 15, 2026, based on main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk, while replies generally do not count unless captured as main-feed replies by the tracker. PolySpotter is tracking $4,351 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from an 87% winning trader buying No.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,459.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

94% serial cross-market bettor

Serial cross-market trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought No at 87¢ despite negative lifetime P&L, making the wallet track record the key signal.

This bettor has won 94% of 1,054 resolved trades across 97 events.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.5M flagged across 163 markets.
Buying No at 87¢ means they are betting Elon will not land in the 80–99 tweet range.

$4,351 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp 87% winner bought No

Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought No on the Elon tweet-count bucket, and the position has already moved from 80% to 91%.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $19K lifetime.
They bought No at 80¢, and the market has already moved to 91¢.
Their 986-bet history suggests a real edge, not a one-off lucky call.

$1,043 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% serial cross-market bettor

A highly active serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ into strong upward momentum, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative despite a very high hit rate.

This bettor has traded across 96 events and 162 markets with a 94% resolved hit rate.
They are effectively buying Yes at 25¢ after the odds jumped 16 points in the last day.
The market is near resolution with $140k traded in 24h, making late tweet-count positioning more meaningful.

$3,066 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%