Elon Musk # tweets May 8 - May 15, 2026?
8 signals across 2 markets · $18,855 tracked · resolves May 15, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Elon Musk posts 80–99 times on X between May 8 at 12:00 PM ET and May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The hub focuses on the tweet-count outcome being traded and highlights smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 94% serial cross-market bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying Yes
Three wallets, including a serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved hit rate and another highly profitable bettor, clustered on Yes amid strong upward price momentum.
$4,390Score: 9.1 - Sharp 87% winner bought No
Sharp wallet with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought No on the Elon tweet-count bucket, and the position has already moved from 80% to 91%.
$1,043Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 4.0 - 81% serial event bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is buying Yes despite this being a liquid market and only a modest-sized trade.
$1,338Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.0 - 94% serial cross-market bettor
A highly active serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ into strong upward momentum, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative despite a very high hit rate.
$3,066Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - 94% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought No at 87¢ despite negative lifetime P&L, making the wallet track record the key signal.
$4,351Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - 81% serial cross-market winner
Serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate bought Yes at 60% amid strong market momentum, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest bet size.
$1,812Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.0 - 94% winner buying No
Surface due to a profitable 94% win-rate wallet taking a fresh No position, despite the modest trade size and common two-market correlation signal.
$1,656Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 3.0 - 90% winner buying momentum
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, buying into a market with strong recent momentum.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x54096e…79db$7,417 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x69645c…ef53$3,150 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x161266…7287$1,656 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xb04693…bc09$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xf4cd58…0516$1,043 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Elon Musk’s May 8–15 tweet count?
The market pricing reflects whether traders think Elon Musk will post 80–99 qualifying tweets during the May 8–15, 2026 window. PolySpotter tracks the live odds alongside smart money signals so you can see how informed bettors are positioning.
What counts as a tweet in this Elon Musk market?
Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts from @elonmusk count toward the total. Replies do not count unless they appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker; deleted posts can still count if captured in time.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,066 in smart money activity across this event, with one notable signal. A recent alert flagged a 94% serial cross-market bettor, suggesting attention from a historically active and successful trader.
When does the Elon Musk tweet-count market resolve?
The event window runs from May 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 15, 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
Where can I track Elon Musk tweet prediction markets?
You can use PolySpotter to follow Polymarket odds, market movement, and smart money alerts for Elon Musk tweet-count markets and related cultural or political prediction markets.