Part of: Daegu Mayoral Election Winner

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,904.

Categories: Global Elections, Elections, Main Election, South Korea, Politics

Notable Trades

78% winner buys Yes dip

Profitable 78% win-rate wallet bought $8.5k of Yes after a major volume spike and apparent shift from a prior No position.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $90k lifetime.
They bought $8.5k of Yes at 71¢ after closing a prior No position, suggesting a fresh shift in view.
Market volume spiked 74x while the price is down 16% in a day, making this look like a conviction dip-buy.

$8,485 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

New wallet re-enters Yes

A brand-new wallet with repeated large flagged bets is re-entering a political election position after previously putting $26.4k into the same side.

A 1-day-old wallet has already made 10 large flagged bets totaling $41.9k.
This is a fresh $7.3k Yes buy after previously investing $26.4k on the same outcome.
The trade entered at 69¢ and the market has already moved to about 73¢.

$7,259 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable bettor buying Yes

Profitable 78% winner is making a net long-Yes position on Daegu mayor despite mixed hedging activity.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $81.7K lifetime.
They put $8.7K into this election market, with most of the money buying Yes around 66–67¢.
The market is liquid, but Yes has fallen 18 points in a day, so this looks like a sharp bettor buying the dip.

$8,711 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable sharp buying dip

Sharp wallet with a 78% resolved-bet win record and $81.7k profit is taking a net Yes position despite mixed hedging activity.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $81.7k lifetime.
They bought about $5.3k of Yes around 66–67¢ while the market is down 18 points on the day.
The wallet has been flagged repeatedly and is active across related election markets.

$7,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable bettor buying dip

Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate and +$81.7k P&L is buying Yes after a major price drop in a liquid political market.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $81.7k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 60¢ after the market fell about 26 points in the past day.
The wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting repeat high-conviction activity.

$1,923 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

94% winner buying favorite

Surfaced due to the sharp-wallet override: a 94% lifetime winner with positive P&L is buying Yes and has related cross-market exposure in the same election event.

This bettor has won 94% of resolved trades and is up about $6.1k lifetime.
They bought $3.1k of Yes at 86¢, backing the current favorite in a liquid election market.
The wallet has also positioned across 2 related markets in this same event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$3,092 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial election trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 86¢ amid a major volume spike and related positioning in the same election event.

This bettor has won 67% of 1,142 resolved trades and is up $231K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $747K deployed across 137 events.
This buy came during a 188x volume spike, with related event positioning totaling about $20.5K.

$5,519 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Profitable serial election bettor

Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought $11.2k of Yes and has $26.2k positioned across this election event.

This bettor is up $231k lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved trades.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $736k bet across 137 events and a 67% win record.
This is an $11.2k buy at 87¢, part of $26.2k positioned across the same election event.

$11,183 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Profitable serial event trader

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader is adding an $8.9k Yes bet on a political election favorite despite already high odds.

This bettor has 1,114 resolved bets, wins 67% of them, and is up $220k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 132 events with nearly $695k in tracked activity.
The $8.9k buy at 89¢ backs the favorite in a market that is up 6 points over the past week.

$8,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume trader with a long cross-market history is adding a $2.9k Yes position at 90¢ on a political market.

This bettor has a long profitable record: 67% wins and +$220k lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $690k placed across 131 events.
Buying at 90¢ shows they are backing Choo as a heavy favorite, after the market moved up 7 points this week.

$2,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%