Part of: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,014.

Categories: Supreme Court , Courts, Politics, Alito

Notable Trades

Profitable contrarian political bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian No position after a huge Yes price spike, though the position is currently against market momentum.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,140 resolved trades, 68% winners, and $53k in profit.
They are fading a massive move after Yes jumped about 55 points in a day.
Entry at 10¢ on No implies a high-upside contrarian bet if the retirement certainty is overstated.

$1,014 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%