Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
This prediction market tracks whether Paris Saint-Germain will reach the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. It resolves to Yes if PSG advances to the semifinal, and to No once PSG is eliminated or can no longer qualify; the market is scheduled to resolve by May 7, 2026, based on semifinal qualification status. PolySpotter is currently tracking $18,735 in smart money activity on this market, with one smart money signal so far.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,026.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Champions League, UCL
Notable Trades
90% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate and nearly $3.3M of event exposure just put $18.7k into PSG Yes, making this a track-record-driven trade worth following despite the rich price.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 119 markets and has deployed about $3.3M across 113 events
- They just bought $18.7k of PSG Yes at 90¢, a sizable position even though the market was already heavily favored
- Their average winning entry is 91¢, so buying strong favorites like this fits a proven style rather than a random chase
$18,735 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
92% win-rate whale
A very high-win-rate bettor put $42k into PSG Yes at 89¢, and despite the weak alert score this wallet’s long-term track record makes the trade worth watching.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 1,019 bets and is up about $187k lifetime
- They just put $42k into PSG Yes at 89¢, a large single position showing clear conviction
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks more like a sharp bettor leaning in than a random thin-market punt
$42,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% win-rate event specialist
An 87% win-rate serial cross-market trader is positioning across five related Champions League markets, making this a follow-worthy event-wide thesis despite the small single-ticket size.
- This wallet wins 87% of resolved bets across 406 markets and has traded 309 events.
- They have placed $16.7k across 5 Champions League-related markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- This buy came at 87¢ in a reasonably liquid market, signaling confidence even after a 25-point weekly run-up.
$1,716 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% win rate is taking a fresh No position on PSG at 37¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up about $569k across 577 resolved positions
- They trade across many related markets with the same strong results, suggesting a repeatable sports edge
- They bought No at 37¢, implying they see PSG's semifinal chances as lower than the current market price
$1,110 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial event trader
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with 437 resolved trades and $360k in profit is taking a sizable PSG Yes position as part of a broader event thesis.
- This bettor has won 68% of 437 resolved trades and is up about $360k overall
- They regularly trade across related markets, with 43 markets across 27 events, which suggests a repeatable event-reading edge
- They bought PSG Yes at 63¢ in a reasonably liquid market, a meaningful $3.5k position rather than a small flyer
$3,465 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xc0d9...da5e — Yes, $47,006 (92% win rate)
- 0x9106...afcb — No, $40,000 (70% win rate)
- 0xe72b...b0a0 — No, $28,080 (50% win rate)
- 0x4900...4a72 — Yes, $27,848 (86% win rate)
- 0xb295...4ee4 — No, $27,000
- 0x5452...d448 — No, $27,000
- 0xeffd...5a86 — No, $21,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x5f17...519e — Yes, $20,863 (90% win rate)
- 0xbdb0...f8ba — Yes, $19,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xf653...8be5 — Yes, $15,294
