Part of: 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,165.
Categories: close, Iran, ships, Geopolitics, Strait of Hormuz, Oil
Notable Trades
Large add-on amid sharp No breakout
A trader added a sizable No position in a thin market, accounting for over half of recent volume while No broke sharply above its prior price range.
- The $1,004 No purchase represented 56.6% of reported 24-hour volume in this relatively thin market.
- No moved 25.8% above its prior observed price range, suggesting strong recent directional conviction.
- This was an add-on to an existing No position averaging 81¢, though the wallet's 50% win rate offers limited track-record support.
$1,161 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Large add-on amid sharp No breakout
A trader added a sizable No position in a thin market, accounting for over half of recent volume while No broke sharply above its prior price range.
- The $1,004 No purchase represented 56.6% of reported 24-hour volume in this relatively thin market.
- No moved 25.8% above its prior observed price range, suggesting strong recent directional conviction.
- This was an add-on to an existing No position averaging 81¢, though the wallet's 50% win rate offers limited track-record support.
$1,004 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 45054334, $7,343 (70% win rate)
- 0xff06...2f60 — Outcome 45054334, $1,737 (77% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 45054334, $1,708 (94% win rate)
- 0xa837...34ea — Outcome 45054334, $1,350
- 0xbeb9...3870 — Outcome 45054334, $1,267 (53% win rate)
- 0xfc95...0b9c — Outcome 45054334, $1,000
- 0xbada...d874 — Outcome 45054334, $554
- 0x0845...6b6f — Outcome 45054334, $523 (70% win rate)
- 0x7a5f...e2b1 — Outcome 45054334, $500 (50% win rate)
- 0xb17d...59ae — Outcome 45054334, $500 (82% win rate)
Related Theses
Russia-Ukraine talks won’t happen
Covers 2 related markets
Iran blockade ends mid-September
Covers 5 related markets
WTI rises, but stays below $95
Covers 2 related markets
