Part of: Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner

Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

This prediction market tracks whether Nate Pollnow will become the Republican nominee for Wisconsin Secretary of State in the 2026 election. The GOP primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026; the market has recorded $1,052 in tracked smart money and one recent signal, while current odds were not provided in the market metadata.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,052.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, US Election, Wisconsin Primary, primary elections, Republican Primary, August 11 Primaries

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor adds to Yes

A proven bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Yes position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 17 resolved trades while reportedly beating implied odds by 32%.
  • The $1,052 purchase represented about 77% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
  • This was an addition to an existing Yes position, reinforcing the bettor’s view despite the market’s recent volatility.

$1,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $4,977
  2. 0xa2dc...49f9 — Yes, $2,001 (76% win rate)
  3. 0xf27a...7b4d — Yes, $1,900 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x03ed...c077 — No, $789
  5. 0xe2b4...3c5a — Yes, $780 (44% win rate)
  6. 0x3872...bb1d — No, $735
  7. 0xdd5d...1614 — Yes, $500 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x4fad...d264 — Yes, $446
  9. 0x6ae0...b747 — Yes, $404
  10. 0x2b9d...adc0 — Yes, $376 (51% win rate)

Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

1dWisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner$1,052 tracked1 signalPoliticsElectionsPrimariesUS ElectionWisconsin Primaryprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryAugust 11 Primaries
Yes
78¢
No
23¢

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Price History — “Yes”
91¢
58¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?

10h ago

$1,052 on Yes at 54¢

54¢→78¢↑24¢