Part of: São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,572.
Categories: Politics, São Tomé, africa, Elections, Global Elections, São Tomé and Príncipe, Main Election
Notable Trades
Profitable political-market sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% win rate over 924 resolved bets bought Yes at 56¢ on a thin niche election market that has since moved to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $94.6k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 56¢ before the market moved to 66¢, showing early conviction.
- The market is relatively thin, and this $2k buy was meaningful versus recent daily volume.
$1,568 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable political-market sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% win rate over 924 resolved bets bought Yes at 56¢ on a thin niche election market that has since moved to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $94.6k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 56¢ before the market moved to 66¢, showing early conviction.
- The market is relatively thin, and this $2k buy was meaningful versus recent daily volume.
$2,003 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xb1ca...1705 — No, $11,067 (59% win rate)
- 0xd12f...e85a — Yes, $4,723 (62% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $4,429
- 0x22e4...ef1c — Yes, $4,210 (58% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $2,995 (47% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Yes, $1,421 (95% win rate)
- 0xefac...c9a1 — No, $1,212 (54% win rate)
- 0x6b17...03b2 — No, $1,058
- 0x66a1...80d9 — No, $750
- 0xd218...b5c9 — No, $600 (49% win rate)
