Part of: Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
This prediction market asks whether JD Vance will physically enter Pakistan’s terrestrial or maritime territory by May 31, resolving Yes if he does and No otherwise. Current smart money activity tracked by PolySpotter shows $1,527 in volume from 1 signal, including an 85% winner buying No. The market resolves based primarily on official government information and does not count merely entering Pakistani airspace.
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,527.
Categories: Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Trump, German Elections, Politics
Notable Trades
85% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is adding a sizable No position that equals most of the market's 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.1k lifetime.
- The $1.5k No buy is large for this quiet market, equal to 72% of the last 24h volume.
- Entry at 88¢ suggests they see little chance of a JD Vance Pakistan visit by the deadline.
$1,527 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x915f...aba1 — No, $5,237
- 0xe154...0b7f — Yes, $3,223
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $2,270 (47% win rate)
- 0xf0c1...bb30 — No, $1,728 (85% win rate)
- 0x0a7a...df1b — Yes, $1,498
- 0x12bb...f88a — Yes, $1,438
- 0x199d...6e7b — No, $1,152 (50% win rate)
- 0xafd2...9693 — Yes, $700 (27% win rate)
- 0x88da...15c6 — Yes, $696
- 0x6f67...102c — Yes, $642
