Part of: Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,700.
Categories: Brazil, Politics, Elections, Main Election, Global Elections
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor adds to Yes
A highly experienced profitable bettor is adding to an existing Yes position after a sharp price rise, with a sizable trade relative to daily volume.
- This bettor has won 87% of 388 resolved trades and is up $44,535 overall.
- They added $1,700 to an existing Yes position as the market rose 24% in a day.
- The trade is about a third of the market’s $5,111 in 24-hour volume.
$1,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Related Theses
Lula leads Minas Gerais vote
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