Part of: GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,267.

Categories: AI, OpenAI, Tech, gpt

Notable Trades

Profitable AI-release specialist

Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is adding to a broader six-market AI release thesis.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $15.6K lifetime.
  • They have positioned across 6 related markets with $10.4K total exposure.
  • Entry at 76¢ shows confidence despite the market already moving up 6 points today.

$1,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes on a moderately thin AI release market, adding a meaningful $2.25k position at 63¢.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 529 resolved trades and is up about $31.9k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 41 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $2.25k buy was nearly 30% of the market’s 24h volume, and the price has already moved from 63¢ to 66¢.

$2,251 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2e8e...5b53 Outcome 24467791, $2,137
  2. 0x9952...2edb Outcome 24467791, $2,000
  3. 0xb94c...4c0c Outcome 24467791, $1,316
  4. 0xe1a3...24ea Outcome 24467791, $1,217 (12% win rate)
  5. 0x5533...51ba Outcome 24467791, $1,200
  6. 0x41e2...7fcb Outcome 24467791, $1,185
  7. 0x1e8a...decb Outcome 24467791, $1,103
  8. 0x3879...d8c3 Outcome 24467791, $1,000
  9. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 24467791, $1,000
  10. 0x505c...b31e Outcome 24467791, $949

Related Theses

Colombia wins on June 23

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GPT-5.6 misses June deadline

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Arc launches above $500M FDV

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GPT-5.6 launches by July 8

Covers 6 related markets

England win June 23

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Norway will not win

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MicroStrategy won't sell Bitcoin

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MetaMask FDV stays below $300M

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England wins on June 17

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Japan wins on June 21

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GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

ResolvedGPT-5.6 released by...?$3,267 tracked2 signalsAIOpenAITechgpt

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

18d ago

$1,016 on Yes at 76¢

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

21d ago

$2,251 on Yes at 63¢

Related Theses