Part of: Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
This prediction market asks whether the first newly added Claude model with “Mythos” in its official name will score at least 1540 on the Arena.AI Coding Leaderboard. The market resolves based on its score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar day after it first appears on the leaderboard. PolySpotter is tracking $3,514 in smart money and 1 signal on this Claude Mythos debut market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,514.
Categories: anthropic, AI, Claude Mythos, Debut, Tech, Claude, Coding
Notable Trades
Profitable AI-market sharp
A proven profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet win rate bought No on a niche Claude leaderboard market while also positioning across a related market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $25.5K lifetime.
- They put $3.5K on No and $6.9K across two related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- The market is relatively niche, so a proven bettor taking size here may reflect specialized information.
$3,514 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x4e39...8cbf — Outcome 84474547, $27,472
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 84474547, $7,200
- 0x521b...db60 — Outcome 10972538, $5,091
- 0x49f2...d7b4 — Outcome 84474547, $5,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xc62d...74fc — Outcome 84474547, $3,200 (81% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 84474547, $2,763
- 0x215a...254c — Outcome 84474547, $2,398
- 0x4ccb...b632 — Outcome 84474547, $2,361 (75% win rate)
- 0x2b67...b814 — Outcome 84474547, $1,817 (76% win rate)
- 0x7c74...f90e — Outcome 84474547, $1,400
Related Theses
Anthropic overtakes Google AI
Covers 2 related markets
Neither Google nor Anthropic leads
Covers 2 related markets
Claude debuts in low 1530s
Covers 2 related markets
