Part of: Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $13,387.

Categories: Trump, Politics, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

New whale makes a major Yes-side move

A $13.4K sale of No in an exceptionally thin political market is a major directional move equivalent to buying Yes, though the wallet has no proven track record and the prior No position was closed at a much higher average price.

  • A $13,387 sale of No is equivalent to buying Yes at 49¢, dwarfing the market’s $331 liquidity.
  • The wallet previously held a large No position at a 95¢ average and has now closed it; there is no resolved-bet track record.
  • The quoted spread is exceptionally wide, so the displayed entry may be difficult to obtain.

$13,387 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0xe234...304a — Yes, $1,000 (66% win rate)
  2. 0xad53...ef24 — Yes, $491
  3. 0x11f3...d859 — No, $449 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xfd47...805a — No, $299 (89% win rate)
  5. 0xf5fc...8e2e — No, $208
  6. 0x7f0f...98e8 — No, $200
  7. 0xb41e...11fd — Yes, $119
  8. 0x91c3...409f — No, $112
  9. 0x9f66...3a50 — No, $109 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x8792...4174 — No, $100 (83% win rate)

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?$13,387 tracked1 signalTrumpPoliticsGeopolitics
Yes
1¢
No
99¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Price History — “No”
101¢
87¢
74¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?

2026-10-01 10:57 UTC

$13,387 on Yes at 49¢

49¢→1¢↓48¢