Part of: GPT-6 released by…?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,056.

Categories: OpenAI, GPT-5, Big Tech, AI, Tech, sam altman, AI Releases

Notable Trades

Serial cross-market Yes bettor

A serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate committed $7.3K to Yes amid a 2,498x volume spike and a major upward price breakout.

  • This bettor has traded 27 events and 41 markets, with a 70% win rate and $280,917 in reported profits.
  • The wallet committed $7,318 to Yes, including buying Yes at 75¢–80¢ and converting a No sale into additional Yes exposure.
  • Trading coincided with a 2,498x historical volume spike and a 42-point breakout beyond the prior price range.

$4,737 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial cross-market Yes bettor

A serial cross-market trader with a 70% win rate committed $7.3K to Yes amid a 2,498x volume spike and a major upward price breakout.

  • This bettor has traded 27 events and 41 markets, with a 70% win rate and $280,917 in reported profits.
  • The wallet committed $7,318 to Yes, including buying Yes at 75¢–80¢ and converting a No sale into additional Yes exposure.
  • Trading coincided with a 2,498x historical volume spike and a 42-point breakout beyond the prior price range.

$7,318 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

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Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

GPT-6 released by…?$12,056 tracked2 signalsOpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altmanAI Releases
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

2026-09-02 16:40 UTC

$4,737 on Yes at 78¢

78¢→100¢↑22¢

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

2026-09-02 16:35 UTC

$7,318 on Yes at 78¢

78¢→100¢↑22¢

Related Theses