Part of: Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,063.
Categories: Claude Mythos, Claude, AI, Anthropic IPO, Tech, Anthropic, AI Regulation, AI Releases
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scales into Yes
A proven 81% bettor with positive edge is adding to an existing Yes position with a bet representing 83% of recent market volume.
- This bettor has won 81% of 21 resolved trades and is up $12,254 overall.
- The $1,063 purchase represents 83% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Yes.
- This is an addition to an existing Yes position, alongside activity across three related event markets.
$1,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x5eb0...5012 — No, $15,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xb17d...59ae — No, $12,124 (82% win rate)
- 0xf81a...eba3 — No, $9,554
- 0x99df...5917 — No, $3,413
- 0x5846...1057 — No, $2,285
- 0x605d...e15b — No, $1,760
- 0xcf7d...d61b — No, $1,760
- 0x66ad...9319 — No, $1,229
- 0x5603...7a24 — No, $1,082
- 0xc91b...93bd — No, $778
Related Theses
Mythos model launches by August 31
Covers 3 related markets
