Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,351.
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet fades Finland
A 12-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and unusually strong early profits sold Finland Yes, which translates into a copyable Buy No at 63¢ despite only a modest resolved sample so far.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times and is up about $9.7k on $22.8k invested
- The trade is a fresh bearish view on Finland: selling Yes at 37¢ is equivalent to buying No at 63¢
- The bettor is active early and sizing real money, even though this market is already liquid and the track record is still small
$1,151 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable new wallet buying Yes
A 12-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and strong early profits is building another position, suggesting notable conviction despite a limited sample size.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts and is up $9.7k.
- It has 8 positions already, so this looks like a bettor actively deploying capital rather than a one-off punt.
- The buy came at 39¢, a relatively cheap entry if the wallet has found another early mispricing.
$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $832,357
- 0x45b0...4857 — Yes, $415,497 (63% win rate)
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Yes, $350,102 (73% win rate)
- 0xd5e2...6078 — Yes, $28,939
- 0x27c1...f4ac — No, $18,793
- 0x8bfe...c44d — Yes, $18,393
- 0x1970...398d — No, $16,674
- 0x77a1...de3d — Yes, $14,020 (56% win rate)
- 0x7c8a...910a — Yes, $11,616
- 0x4e0b...4e72 — Yes, $7,937
