This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime. Five wallets are betting the same way, with $9.4K flowing into No. They bought No at 55¢ and it has already moved to 62¢, suggesting the market is following their side.

Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

40 smart money signals detected, totaling $219,784.

Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor flips bullish

A proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved-bet win rate exited No exposure on Finland, which converts to a bullish Finland Yes signal, though prior-position profit-taking makes it less clean than a fresh buy.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8k lifetime.
They traded $14.7k here and have $38.2k across 5 Eurovision-related markets.
Selling No at 87¢ converts to buying Yes at 13¢, well below the current 23¢ market price.

$14,677 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable Eurovision No cluster

High composite signal from coordinated No buying, cross-market Eurovision positioning, and a profitable 42-bet wallet despite the market moving against the entry so far.

Five wallets are betting the same way, with $9.4K flowing into No on this market.
This bettor has won 31 of 42 resolved bets and is up $56.6K lifetime.
The same wallet is active across 3 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader country-level thesis.

$1,777 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

82% winner buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is buying Finland No, backed by one-sided flow, price movement, and cross-market Eurovision positioning.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime.
Five wallets are betting the same way, with $9.4K flowing into No.
They bought No at 55¢ and it has already moved to 62¢, suggesting the market is following their side.

$2,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp wallet joins No cluster

Sharp 82% win-rate wallet bought Finland Eurovision No alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow, with the position already moving sharply in their favor.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $48.8K lifetime.
Eight wallets bought the same No side for about $42K, and No has already jumped from 60¢ to 74¢.
The wallet is also active across 5 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.

$2,571 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

82% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought Finland Yes at 50¢ despite only moderate bet size.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $27.7K lifetime.
Their past wins came at average odds of 48%, suggesting real forecasting edge rather than just betting favorites.
Entry at 50¢ implies they see Finland as underpriced despite a very liquid market.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

85% winner buys NO

Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Finland No despite this being a liquid market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $29.7K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $317.7K bet across 115 events.
Entry at 51¢ suggests they see Finland fading as the better side.

$2,894 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable Eurovision thesis

A profitable 68% bettor is re-entering Finland Yes as part of a broader Eurovision cross-market position, though the trade size is modest in a very liquid market.

This bettor has won 68% of 114 resolved trades and is up about $20K lifetime.
They are positioning across 3 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet.
They previously traded this market with much larger size and are now re-entering Yes at 45¢.

$1,564 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

94% winner buys Yes

A highly proven trader with a 94% win rate and $28.4M lifetime profit bought Finland Yes, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest trade size.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $28.4M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.3M deployed across 99 markets.
Entry at 44¢ implies they see meaningful upside from the current Finland price.

$2,759 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial Eurovision bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% long-term win rate bought Finland Yes at 46¢ amid a sharp volume spike.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $19.0M lifetime.
They have traded across 210 events with nearly $10.0M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
Finland saw a 71x volume spike, and this wallet bought Yes at 46¢ despite a recent 1-day dip.

$7,568 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

80% winner flips YES

Sharp wallet with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Finland Yes despite the alert’s low composite score.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $44K lifetime.
They bought Finland Yes at 47¢ after closing a small No position, suggesting a fresh change in view.
The market is liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s long track record rather than trade size.

$1,397 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%